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Santander Bank Polska S.A (BKZHY) Fair Value & Analysis

US · Market cap $18.1B

SB Santander Bank Polska S.A logo Santander Bank Polska S.A BKZHY · US
Price$41.25
Fair Value$53.90
Upside+30.7%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
12.07% dividend yield
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $40.43 – $67.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $53.09 to $53.90 (+1.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from $40.43 (bear) to $67.38 (bull), base $53.90. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$41.25 $0.0001 Fair Value $53.90 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $41.25 · fair‑value band $40.43 – $67.38 · the $41.25 price screens below the $53.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Santander Bank Polska S.A (BKZHY) currently trades at $41.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.90, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Revenue grew 32.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at $4.6B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $40.43 (bear case) to $67.38 (bull case); at $41.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $93.80 $114.83 $267.34 76
Growth DCF $324.45 $498.25 $776.68 72
Gordon GGM $100.07 $208.06 $330.07 70
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $322.49 $501.35 $789.71 38
Owner Earnings $225.24 $340.22 $525.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit $182.63 $234.75 $298.00 39
5Y P/E Exit $274.17 $413.08 $562.96 38
10Y Revenue Exit $227.33 $289.22 $369.03 36
10Y P/E Exit $288.66 $415.82 $579.14 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $100.13 $374.64 $506.61 54
Lynch FV $90.30 $129.00 $167.69 50
PEG = 1.0 $90.30 $129.00 $167.69 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $100.07 $208.06 $330.07 70
DDM Multi-Stage $100.07 $175.44 $218.37 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $220.88 $294.51 $368.14 63
P/S Multiple $68.06 $90.74 $113.43 58
P/B Multiple $181.17 $241.55 $301.94 55
EV/Revenue $113.73 $140.95 $168.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $40.26 $53.95 $80.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $324.45 $498.25 $776.68 72
Rev-Margin DCF $180.38 $229.22 $285.58 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $93.80 $114.83 $267.34 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $161.92 $231.32 $300.72 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($340.22) versus Asset-Based ($53.95). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue growth (YoY) +32.9%
Net margin 14.0%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow $10.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.4
Dividend yield 12.1%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +138%
Net debt $4.6B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Santander Bank Polska S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services for individuals, small or medium-sized enterprises, corporate clients, and public sector institutions. It offers personal account, deposits and currencies, internet and mobile banking, and mobile contactless payments, and credit solutions.

Full company description

Santander Bank Polska S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services for individuals, small or medium-sized enterprises, corporate clients, and public sector institutions. It offers personal account, deposits and currencies, internet and mobile banking, and mobile contactless payments, and credit solutions. The company also provides investment advisory, structured deposits, structured certificates and bonds, and brokerage services. In addition, the company offers accounts, business loans, credits, cards and payment terminals, deposits and investments, foreign trade, financial markets, leasing, and internet banking services. Further, the company offers transaction handling, liquidity management, export, import, domestic, and foreign guarantees, working capital finance, current, and investment financing services. Additionally, the company provides foreign exchange, hedging financial risk, correspondence banking, trade finance, and trust services, as well as solutions for financial institutions and global banking transactions. Furthermore, it offers debt and rating advisory and capital market and debt capital services. As of 31 December 2021,the company operates 383 branches. The company was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland. Santander Bank Polska S.A. is a subsidiary of Banco Santander S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Santander Bank Polska S.A reported revenue of $16.0B in FY2025 versus $9.0B in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.5B in FY2025, compounding +55.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.0B
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.2%
Revenue +15.3%/yr
FY21 $9.0B
FY22 $12.3B
FY23 $16.0B
FY24 $15.3B
FY25 $16.0B
Net income +55.4%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $4.8B
FY24 $5.2B
FY25 $6.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Santander Bank Polska S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BKZHY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 74 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 18 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 0
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Santander Bank Polska S.A (BKZHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.90 versus a price of $41.25, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BKZHY?
Our model-based fair value for Santander Bank Polska S.A is $53.90 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $41.25.
What is the quality score of BKZHY?
Santander Bank Polska S.A has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of BKZHY?
The net profit margin of Santander Bank Polska S.A is about 14.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Santander Bank Polska S.A pay a dividend?
Santander Bank Polska S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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