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Balfour Beatty plc (BLFBY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $5.6B

BB Balfour Beatty plc logo Balfour Beatty plc BLFBY · US
Price$24.13
Fair Value$25.20
Upside+4.4%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.59% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range $18.90 – $31.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $27.64 to $25.20 (−8.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $18.90 (bear) to $31.50 (bull), base $25.20. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.95 $4.92 Fair Value $25.20 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.92 – $24.95 · fair‑value band $18.90 – $31.50 · the $24.13 price screens below the $25.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Balfour Beatty plc (BLFBY) currently trades at $24.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.20, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Balfour Beatty plc generated revenue of $9.5B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $18.90 (bear case) to $31.50 (bull case); at $24.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 95% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 4%, BLFBY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $31.94 $44.65 $62.10 80
Residual Income $7.04 $9.56 $46.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF $18.34 $23.74 $30.12 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $31.56 $46.00 $67.15 38
Owner Earnings $19.29 $27.31 $39.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit $18.34 $23.33 $29.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.20 $28.68 $37.10 41
5Y P/E Exit $23.85 $33.63 $43.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit $22.83 $28.49 $35.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.82 $32.12 $41.24 37
10Y P/E Exit $26.47 $35.48 $46.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.53 $23.42 $31.15 54
Lynch FV $5.09 $7.27 $9.46 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.09 $7.27 $9.46 46
EPV $9.67 $10.57 $11.34 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.37 $4.71 $7.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.37 $3.84 $4.98 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.44 $23.25 $29.06 63
P/S Multiple $14.11 $18.82 $23.52 58
P/B Multiple $14.11 $18.82 $23.52 55
EV/EBIT $14.08 $17.44 $20.80 53
EV/EBITDA $16.75 $21.00 $25.26 54
EV/Revenue $11.19 $14.27 $17.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.41 $3.22 $4.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $31.94 $44.65 $62.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.34 $23.74 $30.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.04 $9.56 $46.07 76
ROIC Compounder $9.86 $11.01 $12.14 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.42 $20.59 $26.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($28.68) versus Asset-Based ($3.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.2%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 23.1%
Free cash flow $607M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.9
More key figures
Operating margin 2.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.40
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +108%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Balfour Beatty plc finances, develops, builds, maintains, and operates infrastructure in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Construction Services, Support Services, Infrastructure Investments.

Full company description

Balfour Beatty plc finances, develops, builds, maintains, and operates infrastructure in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Construction Services, Support Services, Infrastructure Investments. The company constructs buildings, including commercial, healthcare, education, retail, and residential assets; and infrastructure assets comprising highways and railways, as well as other large-scale infrastructure assets, such as waste, water, and energy plants. It also offers a range of services, including design and/or build, mechanical and electrical engineering, shell and core and/or fit-out, and interior refurbishment; support services to various utility assets comprising servicing of power transmission and distribution assets, as well as construction and maintenance of electricity networks, including replacement or new build of overhead lines, underground cabling, cable tunnels, and offshore wind farm maintenance; and maintenance, asset and network management, and design services for highways, railways, and public assets. In addition, the company operates a portfolio of service concession assets comprising roads, healthcare, student accommodation, biomass, and waste and offshore transmission sectors; offers real estate management services, such as property development and asset management services; and develops housing units on land. Balfour Beatty plc was founded in 1909 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Balfour Beatty plc reported revenue of $9.5B in FY2025 versus $7.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was $263M in FY2025, compounding +17.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.5B
Latest YoY
+15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.3%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY21 $7.2B
FY22 $7.6B
FY23 $8.0B
FY24 $8.2B
FY25 $9.5B
Net income +17.1%/yr
FY21 $140M
FY22 $288M
FY23 $197M
FY24 $178M
FY25 $263M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Balfour Beatty plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLFBY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 24.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 16
FUTURE 71 · sector 18
PAST 93 · sector 26
HEALTH 69 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Balfour Beatty plc (BLFBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.20 versus a price of $24.13, about +4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BLFBY?
Our model-based fair value for Balfour Beatty plc is $25.20 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.13.
What is the quality score of BLFBY?
Balfour Beatty plc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Balfour Beatty plc (BLFBY)?
Balfour Beatty plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BLFBY?
The net profit margin of Balfour Beatty plc is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Balfour Beatty plc pay a dividend?
Balfour Beatty plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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