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BLOOM Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · PH · Market cap 76.7B PHP

B BLOOM BLOOM · PSE
Price1.90 PHP
Fair Value1.70 PHP
Upside-10.5%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
High debt
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range 0.7700 PHP – 2.63 PHP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 5.21 PHP to 1.70 PHP (−67.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (0.7700 PHP to 2.63 PHP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from 0.7700 PHP (bear) to 2.63 PHP (bull), base 1.70 PHP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 30/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

11.69 PHP 1.65 PHP Fair Value 1.70 PHP Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.65 PHP – 11.69 PHP · fair‑value band 0.7700 PHP – 2.63 PHP · the 1.90 PHP price screens above the 1.70 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

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Analysis

BLOOM (BLOOM) currently trades at 1.90 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.70 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 39.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.7700 PHP (bear case) to 2.63 PHP (bull case); at 1.90 PHP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at -11%, BLOOM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (0.0100 PHP to 2.33 PHP). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.0600 PHP 1.75 PHP 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 PHP 1.27 PHP 74
Gordon GGM 0.2000 PHP 0.4200 PHP 0.6700 PHP 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1800 PHP 2.22 PHP 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0500 PHP 1.40 PHP 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.1500 PHP 2.33 PHP 5.21 PHP 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1.52 PHP 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.71 PHP 4.86 PHP 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2000 PHP 0.4200 PHP 0.6700 PHP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2000 PHP 0.3600 PHP 0.4400 PHP 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 0.2300 PHP 0.7900 PHP 53
EV/EBITDA 0.7700 PHP 1.70 PHP 2.63 PHP 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7400 PHP 0.9900 PHP 1.47 PHP 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0600 PHP 1.75 PHP 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 PHP 1.27 PHP 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.9900 PHP) versus Growth DCF (0.0100 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BLOOM reported revenue of 52.3B PHP in FY2025 versus 22.0B PHP in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was −2.6B PHP in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
52.3B PHP
Latest YoY
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Revenue +24.2%/yr
FY21 22.0B PHP
FY22 38.8B PHP
FY23 47.9B PHP
FY24 52.8B PHP
FY25 52.3B PHP
Net income
FY21 −4.2B PHP
FY22 5.2B PHP
FY23 9.5B PHP
FY24 2.6B PHP
FY25 −2.6B PHP

BLOOM screens 11% overvalued. Compare with JFC →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BLOOM Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BLOOM

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3552 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.73× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 13 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Hotels & Entertainment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JFC JFC 145.80 PHP 210.34 PHP +44%
Ananti Inc 025980 3,600 KRW 3,166 KRW -12%
PIZZA PIZZA 6.00 PHP 12.05 PHP +101%
PT Hotel Mandarine Regency Tbk HOME 50.00 IDR 85.45 IDR +71%
Modetour Network Inc 080160 8,290 KRW 14,293 KRW +72%
MAXS MAXS 2.12 PHP 2.73 PHP +29%
PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk MABA 50.00 IDR 12.20 IDR -76%
HSIL HSIL ₹364.75 ₹212.72 -42%
WEB WEB 14.16 PHP 4.00 PHP -72%
Very Good Tour Co 094850 4,225 KRW 13,304 KRW +215%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BLOOM overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.70 PHP versus a price of 1.90 PHP, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BLOOM?
Our model-based fair value for BLOOM is 1.70 PHP (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.90 PHP.
What is the quality score of BLOOM?
BLOOM has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of BLOOM?
The net profit margin of BLOOM is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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