PIZZA Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PH · Market cap 8.6B PHP
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 101% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (8.54 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.85 PHP – 10.24 PHP · fair‑value band 8.54 PHP – 15.06 PHP · the 6.00 PHP price screens below the 12.05 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PIZZA (PIZZA) currently trades at 6.00 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.05 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 100.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 54.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.54 PHP (bear case) to 15.06 PHP (bull case); at 6.00 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 101%, PIZZA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (17.31 PHP) versus Dividend Discount (3.02 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
PIZZA reported revenue of 14.5B PHP in FY2024 versus 5.3B PHP in FY2020, a compound +28.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B PHP in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Consumer Discretionary · 3552 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Hotels & Entertainment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JFC JFC | 145.80 PHP | 210.34 PHP | +44% |
| BLOOM BLOOM | 1.90 PHP | 1.70 PHP | -11% |
| Ananti Inc 025980 | 3,600 KRW | 3,166 KRW | -12% |
| PT Hotel Mandarine Regency Tbk HOME | 50.00 IDR | 85.45 IDR | +71% |
| Modetour Network Inc 080160 | 8,290 KRW | 14,293 KRW | +72% |
| MAXS MAXS | 2.12 PHP | 2.73 PHP | +29% |
| PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk MABA | 50.00 IDR | 12.20 IDR | -76% |
| HSIL HSIL | ₹364.75 | ₹212.72 | -42% |
| WEB WEB | 14.16 PHP | 4.00 PHP | -72% |
| Very Good Tour Co 094850 | 4,225 KRW | 13,304 KRW | +215% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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