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Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc PHP 11.23, price PHP 5.15, upside +118.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · PH · ISIN PHY7690Y1083

SS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc

PIZZA · PSE

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 11.23 PHP · Strongly undervalued (+118%)
!Quality 57/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.3% net margin (FY2024)
!Moderate debt
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

10.24 PHP 5.13 PHP Fair Value 11.23 PHP Feb 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.13 PHP – 10.24 PHP · fair‑value band 6.53 PHP – 15.91 PHP · the 5.15 PHP price screens below the 11.23 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Stock analysis

Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA) currently trades at 5.15 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.23 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 54.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 16.56 PHP per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 5.15 PHP price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.21 PHP, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 6.53 PHP (bear) to 15.91 PHP (bull), the price of 5.15 PHP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc reported revenue of 14.5B PHP in FY2024 versus 5.3B PHP in FY2020, a compound +28.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B PHP in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 8.7B PHP · P/E ratio 54.5 · P/S ratio 4.50 · EPS (TTM) 0.1029 PHP · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 118%, PIZZA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 6.53 PHP Fair Value 11.23 PHP Bull 15.91 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1029 PHP per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 7.89 PHP 14.58 PHP 27.03 PHP 76
Growth DCF 7.56 PHP 14.14 PHP 22.61 PHP 76
Residual Income 4.54 PHP 5.14 PHP 8.21 PHP 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 7.89 PHP 14.58 PHP 27.03 PHP 76
Owner Earnings 6.19 PHP 12.41 PHP 22.13 PHP 73
5Y Revenue Exit 5.79 PHP 11.54 PHP 19.43 PHP 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 8.17 PHP 16.74 PHP 27.84 PHP 72
5Y P/E Exit 8.25 PHP 16.92 PHP 27.24 PHP 68
10Y Revenue Exit 6.29 PHP 11.70 PHP 20.22 PHP 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 7.86 PHP 15.06 PHP 26.58 PHP 65
10Y P/E Exit 7.91 PHP 15.18 PHP 26.13 PHP 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.82 PHP 27.01 PHP 37.52 PHP 63
Lynch FV 7.56 PHP 10.80 PHP 14.04 PHP 61
PEG = 1.0 7.56 PHP 10.80 PHP 14.04 PHP 57
EPV 2.06 PHP 2.58 PHP 3.00 PHP 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.39 PHP 2.33 PHP 3.03 PHP 68
DDM Multi-Stage 1.39 PHP 2.21 PHP 2.51 PHP 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 11.69 PHP 15.59 PHP 19.49 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 7.72 PHP 10.30 PHP 12.87 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 9.04 PHP 12.05 PHP 15.06 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 7.85 PHP 11.23 PHP 14.60 PHP 65
EV/EBITDA 9.27 PHP 13.12 PHP 16.97 PHP 67
EV/Revenue 4.55 PHP 7.48 PHP 10.40 PHP 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.63 PHP 3.52 PHP 5.26 PHP 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 7.56 PHP 14.14 PHP 22.61 PHP 76
Rev-Margin DCF 5.79 PHP 11.42 PHP 19.14 PHP 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4.54 PHP 5.14 PHP 8.21 PHP 75
ROIC Compounder 2.06 PHP 2.58 PHP 3.00 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11.59 PHP 16.56 PHP 21.53 PHP 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 9%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3894 stocks

Beats the sector median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +118% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.58× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)71 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)78 · sector 48

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Hotels & Entertainment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ananti Inc 025980 5,220 KRW 1,809 KRW −65%
Modetour Network Inc 080160 8,310 KRW 22,809 KRW +174%
HSIL HSIL ₹586.80 ₹132.14 −77%
SKN SKN 0.5050 PLN 0.7400 PLN +47%
JFC JFC 143.90 PHP 213.60 PHP +48%
BLOOM BLOOM 1.92 PHP 1.57 PHP −18%
MAXS MAXS 2.08 PHP 1.98 PHP −5%
LOTO LOTO 1.60 PHP 1.15 PHP −28%
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $254.98 $127.67 −50%
Tesla, Inc TSLA $378.90 $43.25 −89%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PIZZA

Frequently asked questions

Is Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.23 PHP versus a price of 5.15 PHP, about +118% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PIZZA?
Our model-based fair value for Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc is 11.23 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.15 PHP.
What is the quality score of PIZZA?
Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.23 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.53 PHP, optimistic scenario 15.91 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.23 PHP, about +118% upside versus a price of 5.15 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6.53 PHP, optimistic scenario 15.91 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc pay a dividend?
Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc it is 11.23 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5.15 PHP. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PIZZA trades below its calculated fair value: price 5.15 PHP, fair value 11.23 PHP, a gap of about +118% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PIZZA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.15 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.23 PHP). For Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc the two are 6.08 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc worth?
The market values Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc at about 8.7B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5.15 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 11.23 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PIZZA?
Our models span a range for Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc: cautious scenario 6.53 PHP, base 11.23 PHP, optimistic 15.91 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5.15 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PIZZA?
Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.23 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PIZZA from its 52-week high?
Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc trades at 5.15 PHP, about 31% below its 52-week high of 7.49 PHP and at the low of 5.13 PHP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.23 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ananti Inc, Modetour Network Inc, HSIL, SKN, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5.15 PHP, calculated fair value 11.23 PHP (+118%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PIZZA calculated?
We run Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.23 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc currently trades 118 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 5.15 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 11.23 PHP, about +118% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.53 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (6.53 PHP to 15.91 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
The market capitalisation of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc is 8.7B PHP. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc is 4.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
Earnings per share at Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc are 0.1029 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
The dividend yield of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc is 3.9% (payout 196%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
The net margin of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc is 8.3% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc (PIZZA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures Inc is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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