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Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Global Mediacom Tbk IDR 840, price IDR 77, upside +991.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · ID · ISIN ID1000105604

GM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Global Mediacom Tbk

BMTR · JK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 840.16 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+991.1%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/12)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

446.00 IDR 74.00 IDR Fair Value 840.16 IDR Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 74.00 IDR – 446.00 IDR · fair‑value band 727.97 IDR – 1,092 IDR · the 77.00 IDR price screens below the 840.16 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Global Mediacom Tbk operates as an integrated media company in Indonesia and Malaysia. The company operates through Advertising and Content, Pay TV and Broadband, and Others segments. It operates FTA TV stations, including RCTI, MNCTV, GTV, and iNews; and provides content production and content library services.

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PT Global Mediacom Tbk operates as an integrated media company in Indonesia and Malaysia. The company operates through Advertising and Content, Pay TV and Broadband, and Others segments. It operates FTA TV stations, including RCTI, MNCTV, GTV, and iNews; and provides content production and content library services. The company also owns and operates RCTI+ platform that offers video services, news aggregators, audio aggregators UGC talent competition, and music. In addition, it offers subscription base media under the K-Vision, MNC Vision, and MNC Play. The company was formerly known as PT Bimantara Citra Tbk. and changed its name to PT Global Mediacom Tbk in March 2007. PT Global Mediacom Tbk was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) currently trades at 77.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 840.16 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 90.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 1,037 IDR per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the 77.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 362.40 IDR, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 727.97 IDR (bear) to 1,092 IDR (bull), the price of 77.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Global Mediacom Tbk reported revenue of 9.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 14.0T IDR in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 771B IDR in FY2025, compounding −25.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9T IDR (≈ $105M) · P/E ratio 1.5 · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) 51.20 IDR · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin 20.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 991%, BMTR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 727.97 IDR Fair Value 840.16 IDR Bull 1,092 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (38.72 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 252.30 IDR 362.40 IDR 489.86 IDR 77
Residual Income 672.95 IDR 653.09 IDR 660.00 IDR 76
EPV 516.74 IDR 592.23 IDR 653.49 IDR 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 252.30 IDR 362.40 IDR 489.86 IDR 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 320.60 IDR 758.80 IDR 977.49 IDR 65
PEG = 1.0 131.35 IDR 187.65 IDR 243.94 IDR 57
EPV 516.74 IDR 592.23 IDR 653.49 IDR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 777.93 IDR 1,037 IDR 1,297 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 601.13 IDR 801.50 IDR 1,002 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 601.13 IDR 801.50 IDR 1,002 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,101 IDR 1,505 IDR 1,909 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 1,364 IDR 1,856 IDR 2,347 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 807.49 IDR 1,202 IDR 1,596 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 485.66 IDR 650.79 IDR 971.33 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 672.95 IDR 653.09 IDR 660.00 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 516.74 IDR 592.23 IDR 653.49 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 588.11 IDR 840.16 IDR 1,092 IDR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20.7% vs 12.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 234 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.1% · Above median
Return on assets 2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.19× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Mediacom Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMTR

Frequently asked questions

Is Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 840.16 IDR versus a price of 77.00 IDR, about +991% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BMTR?
Our model-based fair value for Global Mediacom Tbk is 840.16 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 77.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BMTR?
Global Mediacom Tbk has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 840.16 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 727.97 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,092 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Global Mediacom Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 840.16 IDR, about +991% upside versus a price of 77.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 727.97 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,092 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Global Mediacom Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Global Mediacom Tbk it is 840.16 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 77.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Global Mediacom Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BMTR trades below its calculated fair value: price 77.00 IDR, fair value 840.16 IDR, a gap of about +991% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BMTR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (77.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (840.16 IDR). For Global Mediacom Tbk the two are 763.16 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Global Mediacom Tbk worth?
The market values Global Mediacom Tbk at about 1.9T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 77.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 840.16 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BMTR?
Our models span a range for Global Mediacom Tbk: cautious scenario 727.97 IDR, base 840.16 IDR, optimistic 1,092 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 77.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BMTR?
Global Mediacom Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 840.16 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Global Mediacom Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BMTR from its 52-week high?
Global Mediacom Tbk trades at 77.00 IDR, about 60% below its 52-week high of 193.00 IDR and 4% above the low of 74.00 IDR (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 840.16 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Global Mediacom Tbk?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Global Mediacom Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 77.00 IDR, calculated fair value 840.16 IDR (+991%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BMTR calculated?
We run Global Mediacom Tbk through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 840.16 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Global Mediacom Tbk currently trades 91 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 77.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 840.16 IDR, about +991% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Global Mediacom Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (727.97 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Global Mediacom Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
The market capitalisation of Global Mediacom Tbk is 1.9T IDR (≈ $105M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Global Mediacom Tbk is 0.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Earnings per share at Global Mediacom Tbk are 51.20 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
The net margin of Global Mediacom Tbk is 8.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Global Mediacom Tbk is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Global Mediacom Tbk is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
The operating margin of Global Mediacom Tbk is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Revenue at Global Mediacom Tbk is growing −13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR)?
Earnings per share at Global Mediacom Tbk are growing +34.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) generate?
The free cash flow of Global Mediacom Tbk is −139B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) carry?
The net debt of Global Mediacom Tbk is 4.7T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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