EN DE

Banco Santander, S.A (BNC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 146B GBX · ISIN ES0113900J37

What is Banco Santander, S.A really worth?

BS Banco Santander, S.A BNC · LSE
Price£11.00
Fair Value£9.67
Upside−12.1%
Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value of £9.67.

As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Banco Santander, S.A is £9.67 per share against a price of £11.00, so the fair value sits 12% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

Strengths

Highly profitable · 34.1% net margin
Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +21.6 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)

For context

·2.18% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range £7.26 – £12.09

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from £9.66 to £9.67 (+0.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£11.04 £1.67 Fair Value £9.67 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.67 – £11.04 · fair‑value band £7.26 – £12.09 · the £11.00 price screens above the £9.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Banco Santander, S.A (BNC) currently trades at £11.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.67, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £10.08 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the £11.00 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £3.76, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Banco Santander, S.A generated revenue of £47.4B at a net margin of 34.1%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. Net debt stands at £317B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £7.26 (bear case) to £12.09 (bull case); at £11.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −12%, BNC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.3616 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income £6.96 £8.82 £22.38 68
DDM Multi-Stage £2.14 £3.76 £4.67 67
Gordon GGM £2.14 £4.45 £7.06 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £2.14 £4.45 £7.06 66
DDM Multi-Stage £2.14 £3.76 £4.67 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £9.60 £12.80 £16.00 63
P/B Multiple £7.56 £10.08 £12.61 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £3.60 £4.83 £7.20 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income £6.96 £8.82 £22.38 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (£10.08) versus Dividend Discount (£3.76). Highest evidence: Residual Income (68).

Notify me when BNC reaches fair value

Put BNC on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.5
P/S ratio 1.64 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) £0.7600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5
Dividend yield 2.2% payout 31.6%
Net margin 11.3% FY2025
Return on equity 12.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 43.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) £47.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6% 3y avg +12.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +67.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 77.7B GBX FY2025
Net debt 317B GBX FY2025 · ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Banco Santander, S.A. provides various financial products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporations, and public entities worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Retail & Commercial Banking, Digital Consumer Bank, Corporate & Investment Banking, Wealth Management & Insurance, and Payments.

Full company description

Banco Santander, S.A. provides various financial products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporations, and public entities worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Retail & Commercial Banking, Digital Consumer Bank, Corporate & Investment Banking, Wealth Management & Insurance, and Payments. It offers demand and time deposits, mutual funds, and current and savings accounts; mortgages, consumer finance, loans, and various financing solutions; and project finance, debt capital markets, global transaction banking, and corporate finance services. The company also provides credit and debit cards, real estate loans, microfinance, and auto loans; corporate and investment banking services; advice on mergers and acquisitions; wealth, asset, and risk management services; and digital payments and technology solutions. In addition, it is involved in the securitization, leasing, management of portfolios, e-commerce, air transport, aircraft rental, software, consulting, fund and investment management, renewable energy, vehicle rental, insurance, advertising, marketing, telemarketing, automotive, agricultural, factoring, securities brokerage and investment, pension fund management, trade intermediary, venture capital fund, renting, restaurant, electricity production, IT, internet, and financial advisory and other activities; management, and other real estate activities; and purchase and sale of vehicles. Further, the company offers mobile and online banking services. Banco Santander, S.A. was formerly known as Banco Santander Central Hispano SA and changed its name to Banco Santander, S.A. in February 2007. The company was incorporated in 1856 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Banco Santander, S.A reported revenue of €124B in FY2025 versus €61.5B in FY2021, a compound +19.3%/yr. Reported net income was €14.1B in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£124B
Latest YoY
−4.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (34Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.2% · in GBP
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+11.0%
Dividend yield2.2%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 15.8% vs 10Y 7.9%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6.7% (2020) → 15.0% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop210% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in GBP
Revenue +19.3%/yr
FY21 €61.5B
FY22 €87.0B
FY23 €122B
FY24 €130B
FY25 €124B
Net income +14.8%/yr
FY21 €8.1B
FY22 €9.6B
FY23 €11.1B
FY24 €12.6B
FY25 €14.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.6 %

of which total revenue +12.2 % · buybacks/dilution −1.4 %

EBIT margin −16.8 %
Tax rate +1.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +14.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BNC screens 14% overvalued. Compare with JPMorgan Chase & Co →

Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Banco Santander, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BNC.LSE

Peer Group

Banks - Diversified · 48 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.15× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 12
FUTURE31 · sector 29
PAST0 · sector 31
HEALTH0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM $358.64 $217.97 −39%
Bank of America Corporation BAC $62.68 $50.87 −19%
China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 ¥10.55 ¥18.21 +73%
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 ¥7.86 ¥14.44 +84%
HSBC Holdings HSBC $103.14 $75.89 −26%
Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 ¥6.96 ¥12.94 +86%
Royal Bank of Canada RY C$283.11 C$151.80 −46%
Bank of China Limited 601988 ¥6.14 ¥11.24 +83%
Wells Fargo & Company WFC $86.69 $79.60 −8%
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group MUFG $22.90 $20.50 −10%

Compare Banco Santander, S.A with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Financial Services stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Banco Santander, S.A (BNC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £9.67 versus a price of £11.00, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BNC?
Our model-based fair value for Banco Santander, S.A is £9.67 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £11.00.
What is the quality score of BNC?
Banco Santander, S.A has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Banco Santander, S.A (BNC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £9.67 (as of Aug 29, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario £7.26, optimistic scenario £12.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Banco Santander, S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £9.67, about −12% upside versus a price of £11.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £7.26, optimistic scenario £12.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Banco Santander, S.A (BNC)?
Banco Santander, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £47.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BNC?
The net profit margin of Banco Santander, S.A is about 34.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Banco Santander, S.A pay a dividend?
Banco Santander, S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.18% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
Free · no account needed

Continue in the live analysis

Fair value and trend for 35,000+ stocks, watchlist, comparison and the diversification check. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Open the live analysis →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.