Banco Comercial Português, S.A (BPCGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Banco Comercial Português, S.A $0.68, price $1.33, upside -48.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Banco Comercial Português, S.A
BPCGF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0677 – $6.30 · fair‑value band $0.5700 – $0.8800 · the $1.33 price screens above the $0.6800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Banco Comercial Português, S.A. engages in the provision of various banking and financial products and services in Portugal and internationally. The company operates through Retail Banking; Companies and Corporate; Private Banking; International Business, and Other segments.
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Banco Comercial Português, S.A. engages in the provision of various banking and financial products and services in Portugal and internationally. The company operates through Retail Banking; Companies and Corporate; Private Banking; International Business, and Other segments. It offers a range of financial products and services, including current accounts, payment systems, savings and investment products, private banking, asset management, and investment banking services, such as mortgage loans, personal loans, commercial banking, leasing, factoring, insurance, and other products. The company is also involved in the provision of investment fund and real estate management, e-commerce, web portal, leasing, consulting, brokerage, marketing, and real estate investment fund management services; and internet, telephone, and mobile banking services as well as buying and selling real estate. In addition, it offers credit, debit, and prepaid cards; personal, mortgage, car loan, and salary loan; health, car, life, travel, personal accident, home, pet, work accident, payment protection, and transportation and repatriation insurance; retirement services; structured products, discretionary management, investment funds, and other technology and services. Further, the company provides short, medium, and long term financing solutions; internacional operations financing; and treasury services. Banco Comercial Português, S.A. was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Porto, Portugal.
Stock analysis
Banco Comercial Português, S.A (BPCGF) currently trades at $1.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6800, 48.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.8300 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $1.33 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.4000, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.5700 (bear) to $0.8800 (bull), the price of $1.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Banco Comercial Português, S.A reported revenue of €5.4B in FY2025 versus €2.6B in FY2021, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was €1.0B in FY2025, compounding +64.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $20.5B · P/E ratio 16.6 · P/S ratio 3.13 · EPS (TTM) $0.0800 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 18.9% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −49%, BPCGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
BPCGF screens overvalued: fair value 49% below the price. Compare with DBS Group →
Earlier news
- First BanCorp (FBP) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
- Banco Comercial Portugues (BPCGY) Moves 6.1% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
- Banco Comercial Portugues (BPCGY) Surges 11.2%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
- Strength Seen in Banco Comercial Portugues (BPCGY): Can Its 6.5% Jump Turn into More Strength?
Compare Banco Comercial Português, S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1053 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 78.00 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −48% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 600036 | ¥40.69 | ¥52.73 | +30% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €79.53 | €77.12 | −3% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $11.05 | $6.82 | −38% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.38 | €4.06 | −36% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €91.54 | €105.99 | +16% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹721.20 | ₹406.44 | −44% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 32.01 SGD | 19.78 SGD | −38% |
| Al Rajhi Banking and Investment Corporation 1120 | 63.15 SAR | 36.95 SAR | −41% |
| CaixaBank, S.A CABK | €12.03 | €8.46 | −30% |
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Key figures of Banco Comercial Português, S.A
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