Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 7, 2026: fair value of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk IDR 106, price IDR 605, upside -82.5%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 79.82 IDR – 1,310 IDR · fair‑value band 77.98 IDR – 132.44 IDR · the 605.00 IDR price screens above the 105.96 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Asia. The company operates through Investments, Holding Company, and Mining and Services segments. It explores for lead, zinc, gold, copper, and iron ore.
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PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Asia. The company operates through Investments, Holding Company, and Mining and Services segments. It explores for lead, zinc, gold, copper, and iron ore. The company also invests in shares of stock, as well as engages in funding and financing activities; and offers mining advisory and marketing services. PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS) currently trades at 605.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 105.96 IDR, 82.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 268.30 IDR per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 605.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 86.27 IDR, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 77.98 IDR (bear) to 132.44 IDR (bull), the price of 605.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk reported revenue of $246M in FY2025 versus $10.6M in FY2021, a compound +119.7%/yr. Reported net income was $49.4M in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 93.6T IDR (≈ $5.2B) · P/E ratio 131.5 · P/S ratio 26.4 · EPS (TTM) 5.02 IDR · Net margin 20.1% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% · Operating margin 12.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −82%, BRMS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (31.88 IDR to 295.49 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 77.98 IDRFair Value 105.96 IDRBull 132.44 IDR
Price 605.00 IDR · Upside -82.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.86 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+176.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+96.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +34.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+24.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 37%
2025 sits 102% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 369 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−82.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)17.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−54.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)131.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.18× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)23.34× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA64.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 74
PAST (return on equity)16· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 105.96 IDR versus a price of 605.00 IDR, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BRMS?
Our model-based fair value for Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 105.96 IDR (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 605.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of BRMS?
Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 105.96 IDR (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 77.98 IDR, optimistic scenario 132.44 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 105.96 IDR, about −82% upside versus a price of 605.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 77.98 IDR, optimistic scenario 132.44 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $224M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk it is 105.96 IDR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 605.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BRMS trades above its calculated fair value: price 605.00 IDR, fair value 105.96 IDR, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BRMS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (605.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (105.96 IDR). For Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk the two are 499.04 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk worth?
The market values Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk at about 93.6T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 605.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 105.96 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BRMS?
Our models span a range for Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk: cautious scenario 77.98 IDR, base 105.96 IDR, optimistic 132.44 IDR per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 605.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BRMS?
Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 131.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 105.96 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.2, P/S 23.3, EV/EBITDA 64.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BRMS from its 52-week high?
Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk trades at 605.00 IDR, about 54% below its 52-week high of 1,310 IDR and 28% above the low of 474.00 IDR (as of Oct 7, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 105.96 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 605.00 IDR, calculated fair value 105.96 IDR (−82%), Quality Score 61/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BRMS calculated?
We run Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 105.96 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
The closing price on Oct 7, 2026 was 605.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 105.96 IDR, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (132.44 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
The market capitalisation of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 93.6T IDR (≈ $5.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 26.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Earnings per share at Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk are 5.02 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 131.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
The net margin of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 20.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
The operating margin of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Revenue at Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is growing −54.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +177%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS)?
Earnings per share at Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk are growing +17.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS) generate?
The free cash flow of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is −$4.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS) carry?
The net debt of Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk is $139M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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