BT Group (BT-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · GB · Market cap 18.8B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from £1.57 to £1.66 (+5.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range £1.66 – £2.31 · fair‑value band £1.13 – £3.01 · the £1.90 price screens above the £1.66 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.
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BT Group (BT-A) currently trades at £1.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.66, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BT Group generated revenue of £19.7B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at £22.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.13 (bear case) to £3.01 (bull case); at £1.90, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at -13%, BT-A screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
BT Group plc provides communications products and services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Consumer, Business, International, and Openreach segments. It builds, owns, and operates fixed and mobile networks; and designs, builds, markets, sells, and supports network access, connectivity, and related products. The company also offers mobile, broadband, and landline, as well as entertainment services to individuals and households; connectivity, networking, cybersecurity, collaboration tools, cloud connectivity, and cloud services to private and public sector businesses; and managed solutions for larger businesses and public sector customers. In addition, it provides fixed and IP voice; unified communications; mobile; fixed and networking; managed services; and security, and cloud and IoT solutions. Further, the company develops, manages, and leases network infrastructure, including mobile cell and …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
BT Group reported revenue of £19.7B in FY2026 versus £20.9B in FY2022, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was £1.1B in FY2026, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SoftBank Group SFTBF | $44.85 | $68.21 | +52% |
| China Mobile Limited 0941 | HK$82.40 | HK$80.23 | -3% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc T1MU34 | R$463.44 | R$95.81 | -79% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | C$19.28 | C$25.89 | +34% |
| AT&T Inc ATTB34 | R$39.85 | R$65.23 | +64% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,917 | ₹964.27 | -50% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCS34 | R$24.68 | R$70.53 | +186% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥5.68 | ¥9.40 | +65% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 22.06 MXN | 30.33 MXN | +37% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 265.00 MXN | 295.75 MXN | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.