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BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of BTC Digital Ltd. $1.48, price $1.20, upside +23.3%, quality 20 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN KYG6055H1552

BD BTC Digital Ltd. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

BTC Digital Ltd.

BTCT · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $1.48 · Undervalued (+23%)
!Quality 20/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −56.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -64.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$600.00 $0.4400 Fair Value $1.48 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4400 – $600.00 · fair‑value band $0.9775 – $1.85 · the $1.20 price screens below the $1.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

BTC Digital Ltd., a crypto asset technology company, engages in bitcoin mining business in the United States. It is involved in resale and rental business of mining machines. It also provides miner hosting services. The company was formerly known as Meten Holding Group Ltd. and changed its name to BTC Digital Ltd. in August 2023.

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BTC Digital Ltd., a crypto asset technology company, engages in bitcoin mining business in the United States. It is involved in resale and rental business of mining machines. It also provides miner hosting services. The company was formerly known as Meten Holding Group Ltd. and changed its name to BTC Digital Ltd. in August 2023. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Singapore.

Stock analysis

BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) currently trades at $1.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.48, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.9775 (bear) to $1.85 (bull), the price of $1.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

BTC Digital Ltd. reported revenue of $14.0M in FY2025 versus $729M in FY2021, a compound −62.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $12.1M · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) $−1.10 · Net margin −64.5% · Return on equity −23.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.2% · Operating margin −45.5% · Revenue (TTM) $14.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 173% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 23%, BTCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9775 Fair Value $1.48 Bull $1.85
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.95 $2.62 $3.90 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.95 $2.62 $3.90 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−44.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.9% (2020) → −62.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +23% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −65% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)64 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)2 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $548.92 $195.72 −64%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $205.19 $161.72 −21%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $464.60 $53.53 −88%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 2,115 TWD 1,065 TWD −50%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥33.18 ¥46.76 +41%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 338.50 TWD 228.14 TWD −33%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$36.92 HK$33.70 −9%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥84.67 ¥35.54 −58%
Everpure, Inc P $110.89 $51.46 −54%
HP Inc HPQ $32.04 $51.90 +62%

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BTC Digital Ltd. · Fair Value
$1.48 +19%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BTC Digital Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BTCT

Frequently asked questions

Is BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.48 versus a price of $1.20, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BTCT?
Our model-based fair value for BTC Digital Ltd. is $1.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.20.
What is the quality score of BTCT?
BTC Digital Ltd. has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9775, optimistic scenario $1.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BTC Digital Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.48, about +23% upside versus a price of $1.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.9775, optimistic scenario $1.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
BTC Digital Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BTC Digital Ltd. it is $1.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.20. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BTC Digital Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BTCT trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.20, fair value $1.48, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BTCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.48). For BTC Digital Ltd. the two are $0.2790 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BTC Digital Ltd. worth?
The market values BTC Digital Ltd. at about $12.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.20; our models calculate a fair value of $1.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BTCT?
Our models span a range for BTC Digital Ltd.: cautious scenario $0.9775, base $1.48, optimistic $1.85 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for BTC Digital Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −23.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BTCT from its 52-week high?
BTC Digital Ltd. trades at $1.20, about 61% below its 52-week high of $3.08 and 173% above the low of $0.4400 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BTC Digital Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Western Digital Corporation, Wiwynn Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BTC Digital Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.20, calculated fair value $1.48 (+23%), Quality Score 20/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BTCT calculated?
We run BTC Digital Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. BTC Digital Ltd. currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.20. Our model-based fair value is $1.48, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BTC Digital Ltd. right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.9775 to $1.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of BTC Digital Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
The market capitalisation of BTC Digital Ltd. is $12.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BTC Digital Ltd. is 0.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
Earnings per share at BTC Digital Ltd. are $−1.10. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
The net margin of BTC Digital Ltd. is −64.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BTC Digital Ltd. is −23.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BTC Digital Ltd. is −7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
The operating margin of BTC Digital Ltd. is −45.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT)?
Revenue at BTC Digital Ltd. is growing +0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −44.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) generate?
The free cash flow of BTC Digital Ltd. is −$12.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) carry?
The net debt of BTC Digital Ltd. is $2.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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