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Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $3.6B

Price$24.24
Fair Value$21.29
Upside-12.2%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range $16.10 – $26.48

Analysis

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) currently trades at $24.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.29 — implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Peabody Energy Corporation engages in the production of metallurgical and thermal coal. It operates through Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, and Other U.S. Thermal segments. The company operates mines in New South Wales and Queensland in Australia and in Alabama and Wyoming in the United States; mining, preparation, and sale of thermal coal, sold primarily to electric utilities; surface mining extraction processes, coal with a lower sulfur content, and Btu; and mining sub-bituminous coal deposits. It also supplies coal primarily to electricity generators, industrial facilities, and steel manufacturers. The company was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.