Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. (BURCE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 3.2B TRY

Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (33.29 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range (17.60 TRY to 33.29 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.73 TRY – 80.95 TRY · fair‑value band 17.60 TRY – 33.29 TRY · the 37.60 TRY price screens above the 25.68 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. (BURCE) currently trades at 37.60 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.68 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. generated revenue of 709M TRY at a net margin of -15.2%. Revenue grew 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.1%. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 17.60 TRY (bear case) to 33.29 TRY (bull case); at 37.60 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 137% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -32%, BURCE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (513.60 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (3.54 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. engages in the steel casting and machinery manufacturing businesses in Turkey and internationally.

Full company description

Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. engages in the steel casting and machinery manufacturing businesses in Turkey and internationally. It provides stationary crushing and screening plants, such as jaw, impacts, cone crushers, sieves, sand machine, vertical shaft breakers, hammer breakers, and supplementary equipment that includes bunkers and feeders, conveyor belts, products silos, automation systems, and washers; and mobile crushing and screening units comprising mobile jaw, impact, and cone crushers, as well as mobile sieve and padder. The company also manufactures and sells hydromechanical components, including voltage, suction pipe, inlet pipe, etc. that operate under high pressure for hydroelectric power plants; ship container crane jibs, adapters, and ship loading facilities for the shipbuilding industry; and mineral crushers, jaw crushers, cone crushers, rotor crushers, mobile crawler crushers, and steel casting spare parts for the mining industry. In addition, it provides machining and welding products. The company's products are used in automotive, iron and steel production, cement, power generation, marine, industrial valve, heavy construction machinery, industrial machinery, and mining and crushers industries. Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2015 – FY2019 · reported fiscal years

Burçelik Bursa Çelik Döküm Sanayii A.S. reported revenue of 65.5M TRY in FY2019 versus 38.1M TRY in FY2015, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was −2.8M TRY in FY2019.

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Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 879 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.