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Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bubalus Resources Ltd A$0.05, price A$0.07, upside -30.3%, quality 15 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000238479

BR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Bubalus Resources Ltd

BUS · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0474 · Overvalued (−30%)
!Quality 15/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −16.3 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2500 A$0.0680 Fair Value A$0.0474 Oct 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range A$0.0680 – A$0.2500 · fair‑value band A$0.0358 – A$0.0532 · the A$0.0680 price screens above the A$0.0474 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Bubalus Resources Limited engages in exploration and evaluation of mineral resource projects in the Northern Territory, Victoria, and Western Australia. The company explores for manganese, gold, heavy and light rare earths, and associated minerals such as antimony, bismuth, silver, molybdenum, tungsten, and arsenic.

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Bubalus Resources Limited engages in exploration and evaluation of mineral resource projects in the Northern Territory, Victoria, and Western Australia. The company explores for manganese, gold, heavy and light rare earths, and associated minerals such as antimony, bismuth, silver, molybdenum, tungsten, and arsenic. Bubalus Resources Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) currently trades at A$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0474, implying the stock looks roughly 43.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0358 (bear) to A$0.0532 (bull), the price of A$0.0680 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Bubalus Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$96.0K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$1.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$5.2M (≈ $3.7M) · P/S ratio 58.8 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −23.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.1% · Operating margin −755% · Revenue (TTM) A$89.1K · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −30%, BUS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0358 Fair Value A$0.0474 Bull A$0.0532
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 15/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BUS screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −12% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 41.40× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥36.66 ¥54.86 +50%

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Bubalus Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0474 −43%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bubalus Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUS

Frequently asked questions

Is Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0474 versus a price of A$0.0680, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BUS?
Our model-based fair value for Bubalus Resources Ltd is A$0.0474 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0680.
What is the quality score of BUS?
Bubalus Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 15/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0474 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0358, optimistic scenario A$0.0532. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bubalus Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0474, about −30% upside versus a price of A$0.0680 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0358, optimistic scenario A$0.0532. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Bubalus Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$89.1K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bubalus Resources Ltd it is A$0.0474 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0680. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bubalus Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BUS trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0680, fair value A$0.0474, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BUS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0680); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0474). For Bubalus Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0206 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bubalus Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Bubalus Resources Ltd at about A$5.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0680; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0474 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BUS?
Our models span a range for Bubalus Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0358, base A$0.0474, optimistic A$0.0532 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0680). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bubalus Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −23.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 15/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BUS from its 52-week high?
Bubalus Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0680, about 63% below its 52-week high of A$0.1850 and at the low of A$0.0680 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0474 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bubalus Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bubalus Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0680, calculated fair value A$0.0474 (−30%), Quality Score 15/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BUS calculated?
We run Bubalus Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0474, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bubalus Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0680. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0474, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bubalus Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0532). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (15/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Bubalus Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The market capitalisation of Bubalus Resources Ltd is A$5.2M (≈ $3.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bubalus Resources Ltd is 58.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Earnings per share at Bubalus Resources Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −23.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −22.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The operating margin of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −755% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Revenue at Bubalus Resources Ltd is growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) generate?
The free cash flow of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −A$1.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) hold?
Bubalus Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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