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Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bubalus Resources Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.08, that is 47.7% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000238479

BR Bubalus Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Bubalus Resources Ltd

BUS · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 41/100
Fair value A$0.0408 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −16.3 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2500 A$0.0680 Fair Value A$0.0408 Oct 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range A$0.0680 – A$0.2500 · fair‑value band A$0.0340 – A$0.0476 · the A$0.0780 price screens above the A$0.0408 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Bubalus Resources Limited engages in exploration and evaluation of mineral resource projects in the Northern Territory, Victoria, and Western Australia.

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The company explores for manganese, gold, heavy and light rare earths, and associated minerals such as antimony, bismuth, silver, molybdenum, tungsten, and arsenic. Bubalus Resources Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) currently trades at A$0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0408, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0340 (bear) to A$0.0476 (bull), the price of A$0.0780 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Bubalus Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$96.0K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$1.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$5.9M (≈ $4.1M) Micro · P/S ratio 64.5 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −27.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2,488% · Revenue (TTM) A$92.1K · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −48%, BUS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0340 Fair Value A$0.0408 Bull A$0.0476
Price A$0.0780 · Downside -47.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 76
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 32
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BUS screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Above median
Fair Value upside −47.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −27.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 64.52× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)33 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs BUS
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs BUS
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs BUS
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs BUS
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs BUS
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs BUS
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs BUS
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs BUS
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs BUS
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs BUS

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Bubalus Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bubalus Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BUS

Frequently asked questions

Is Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0408 versus a price of A$0.0780, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BUS?
Our model-based fair value for Bubalus Resources Ltd is A$0.0408 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0780.
What is the quality score of BUS?
Bubalus Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0408 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0476. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bubalus Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0408, about 48% lower versus a price of A$0.0780 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0476. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Bubalus Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$92.1K (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bubalus Resources Ltd it is A$0.0408 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.0780. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Bubalus Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, BUS trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0780, fair value A$0.0408, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BUS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0780); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0408). For Bubalus Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0372 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bubalus Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Bubalus Resources Ltd at about A$5.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0780; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0408 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BUS?
Our models span a range for Bubalus Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0340, base A$0.0408, optimistic A$0.0476 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.0780). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bubalus Resources Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −27.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BUS from its 52-week high?
Bubalus Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0780, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.1500 and 15% above the low of A$0.0680 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0408 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bubalus Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bubalus Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.0780, calculated fair value A$0.0408 (−48%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BUS calculated?
We run Bubalus Resources Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0408 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Bubalus Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0780. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0408, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bubalus Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0476). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Bubalus Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The market capitalisation of Bubalus Resources Ltd is A$5.9M (≈ $4.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bubalus Resources Ltd is 64.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Earnings per share at Bubalus Resources Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −27.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −20.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
The operating margin of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −2,488% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS)?
Revenue at Bubalus Resources Ltd is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) generate?
The free cash flow of Bubalus Resources Ltd is −A$614K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bubalus Resources Ltd (BUS) hold?
Bubalus Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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