Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Buzzi Unicem SpA $34.12, price $21.40, upside +59.4%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.86 – $30.83 · fair‑value band $25.06 – $44.89 · the $21.40 price screens below the $34.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Buzzi S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells cement, ready-mix concrete, and natural aggregates. It has operations primarily in Italy, United States of America, Germany, Luxembourg, Netherlands, United Arab Emirates, Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia, Brazil, Russia, Algeria, Slovenia, and Mexico.
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Buzzi S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells cement, ready-mix concrete, and natural aggregates. It has operations primarily in Italy, United States of America, Germany, Luxembourg, Netherlands, United Arab Emirates, Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia, Brazil, Russia, Algeria, Slovenia, and Mexico. The company was formerly known as Buzzi Unicem S.p.A. and changed its name to Buzzi S.p.A. in May 2023. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Casale Monferrato, Italy.
Stock analysis
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR (BZZUY) currently trades at $21.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.12, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $39.67 per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the $21.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.78, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $25.06 (bear) to $44.89 (bull), the price of $21.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR reported revenue of €4.3B in FY2025 versus €3.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €885M in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.9B · P/E ratio 7.3 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) $2.95 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 20.4% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 59%, BZZUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $25.06Fair Value $34.12Bull $44.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.70 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.4% vs 32.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.9% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 252 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+29.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)20.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.12 versus a price of $21.40, about +59% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BZZUY?
Our model-based fair value for Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is $34.12 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.40.
What is the quality score of BZZUY?
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $34.12 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $25.06, optimistic scenario $44.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $34.12, about +59% upside versus a price of $21.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $25.06, optimistic scenario $44.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR pay a dividend?
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.27% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.1 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BZZUY use?
Our models discount Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR that is -3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR grew +6.1 % a year. The price currently implies -3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR (-3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.00 %: that much free cash flow Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR it is $34.12 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $21.40. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BZZUY trades below its calculated fair value: price $21.40, fair value $34.12, a gap of about +59% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BZZUY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($34.12). For Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR the two are $12.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR worth?
The market values Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR at about $9.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $21.40; our models calculate a fair value of $34.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BZZUY?
Our models span a range for Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR: cautious scenario $25.06, base $34.12, optimistic $44.89 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $21.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BZZUY?
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.3 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $34.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 13.5%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BZZUY from its 52-week high?
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR trades at $21.40, about 31% below its 52-week high of $30.83 and 3% above the low of $20.85 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $34.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $21.40, calculated fair value $34.12 (+59%), Quality Score 63/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BZZUY calculated?
We run Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $34.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $21.40. Our model-based fair value is $34.12, about +59% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($25.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY) come from?
Earnings per share at Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR grew +36.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +16.2 %, EBIT margin +8.9 %, tax rate +4.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The market capitalisation of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is $9.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Earnings per share at Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR are $2.95 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The dividend yield of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is 3.3% (payout 23.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The net margin of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is 20.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
The operating margin of Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Revenue at Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR is growing +2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY)?
Earnings per share at Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR are growing +3.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Buzzi Unicem SpA (BZZUY) hold?
Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR holds more cash than debt, €961M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026