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CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS (C70) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · SG · Market cap 927M SGD

CD CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS C70 · SG
Price1.01 SGD
Fair Value0.8160 SGD
Upside-18.9%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
7.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Evidence: Medium Range 0.6407 SGD – 1.06 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.8151 SGD to 0.8160 SGD (+0.1%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from 0.6407 SGD (bear) to 1.06 SGD (bull), base 0.8160 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.04 SGD 0.8407 SGD Fair Value 0.8160 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8407 SGD – 1.04 SGD · fair‑value band 0.6407 SGD – 1.06 SGD · the 1.01 SGD price screens above the 0.8160 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS (C70) currently trades at 1.01 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8160 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Net debt stands at 11.4B SGD. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.8 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.6407 SGD (bear case) to 1.06 SGD (bull case); at 1.01 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -19%, C70 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 7.83 SGD 7.97 SGD 7.73 SGD 76
Growth-Adj P/E 6.98 SGD 9.97 SGD 12.96 SGD 68
P/E Multiple 8.71 SGD 11.61 SGD 14.51 SGD 63
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.64 SGD 12.37 SGD 16.17 SGD 54
Lynch FV 2.40 SGD 3.42 SGD 4.45 SGD 50
PEG = 1.0 2.40 SGD 3.42 SGD 4.45 SGD 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.71 SGD 11.61 SGD 14.51 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 4.38 SGD 5.84 SGD 7.30 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 8.71 SGD 11.61 SGD 14.51 SGD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.20 SGD 6.97 SGD 10.40 SGD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.83 SGD 7.97 SGD 7.73 SGD 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.98 SGD 9.97 SGD 12.96 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (11.61 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (3.42 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -2,029%
Free cash flow −2.4B SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 1.8 as of Jul 4, 2026
Dividend yield 8.0%
Net debt 11.4B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

City Developments Limited (CDL) is a Singapore-listed international real estate operating company with a global presence spanning 97 locations in 26 countries.

Full company description

City Developments Limited (CDL) is a Singapore-listed international real estate operating company with a global presence spanning 97 locations in 26 countries. As one of Singapore's largest companies by market capitalisation, its income-stable and geographically-diversified portfolio comprises residences, offices, hotels, serviced apartments, integrated developments and shopping malls, totalling over 18 million square feet of floor area globally. CDL has hotel assets in one of the world's largest hotel groups ? its London-listed subsidiary, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels plc (M&C), has over 130 hotels globally, many in key gateway cities. Globally, CDL has developed over 40,000 homes and is one of Singapore's largest commercial landlords, with one of the biggest landbanks amongst Singapore private-sector developers. Building on its track record of over 50 years in real estate development, investment and management, CDL has developed growth platforms in five key international markets ? UK, US, China, Japan and Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS reported revenue of 3.6B SGD in FY2025 versus 2.6B SGD in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 630M SGD in FY2025, compounding +65.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.6B SGD
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 2.6B SGD
FY22 3.3B SGD
FY23 4.9B SGD
FY24 3.3B SGD
FY25 3.6B SGD
Net income +65.1%/yr
FY21 84.7M SGD
FY22 1.3B SGD
FY23 317M SGD
FY24 201M SGD
FY25 630M SGD

C70 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/C70

Peer Group

Other · 393 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.07× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 10
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 47 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Frequently asked questions

Is CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS (C70) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8160 SGD versus a price of 1.01 SGD, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of C70?
Our model-based fair value for CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS is 0.8160 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.01 SGD.
What is the quality score of C70?
CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of C70?
The net profit margin of CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS pay a dividend?
CITY DEVELOPMENTS LTD NCCPS currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.98% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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