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SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED S$0.16, price S$0.10, upside +64.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · SG · ISIN SG1V73937608

SP Thin data Sep 27, 2026

SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED

C9Q · SG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 0.1615 SGD · Strongly undervalued (+64.8%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.3763 SGD 0.0743 SGD Fair Value 0.1615 SGD Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0743 SGD – 0.3763 SGD · the 0.0980 SGD price screens below the 0.1615 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Sinostar PEC Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and supplies petrochemical products in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Gas Separation, and Transport and Logistic Services.

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Sinostar PEC Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and supplies petrochemical products in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Gas Separation, and Transport and Logistic Services. The company offers propylene, polypropylene, purified isobutylene, methyl tert-butyl ether, hydrogen, mixed gas, and processed liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) products. It also provides logistics and transportation services for delivering LPG and petrochemical related products. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Dongming, the People's Republic of China. Sinostar PEC Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Intelligent People Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q) currently trades at 0.0980 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1615 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.3300 SGD per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.0980 SGD price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 0.0200 SGD, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of 4.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 25.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −42.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 94.1M SGD (≈ $73.4M) · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% · Operating margin 8.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 65%, C9Q screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.1615 SGD Fair Value 0.1615 SGD Bull 0.1615 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0075 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.3500 SGD 0.5300 SGD 0.7800 SGD 77
Growth DCF 0.3400 SGD 0.5100 SGD 0.7200 SGD 76
EPV 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.3500 SGD 0.5300 SGD 0.7800 SGD 77
Owner Earnings 0.2900 SGD 0.4500 SGD 0.6700 SGD 73
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1900 SGD 0.2600 SGD 0.3500 SGD 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.2400 SGD 0.3800 SGD 0.5300 SGD 73
5Y P/E Exit 0.1600 SGD 0.2100 SGD 0.2600 SGD 70
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2500 SGD 0.3300 SGD 0.4400 SGD 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.2800 SGD 0.4000 SGD 0.5700 SGD 66
10Y P/E Exit 0.2400 SGD 0.3000 SGD 0.3800 SGD 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0300 SGD 0.1400 SGD 0.1900 SGD 62
Lynch FV 0.0300 SGD 0.0500 SGD 0.0600 SGD 59
PEG = 1.0 0.0300 SGD 0.0500 SGD 0.0600 SGD 55
EPV 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.0600 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.0600 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.0600 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.1100 SGD 65
EV/EBITDA 0.1900 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.3400 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 0.0800 SGD 0.1200 SGD 0.1600 SGD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1600 SGD 0.2100 SGD 0.3100 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.3400 SGD 0.5100 SGD 0.7200 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1900 SGD 0.2700 SGD 0.3700 SGD 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.2000 SGD 0.1800 SGD 0.1700 SGD 74
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 SGD 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0500 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.1% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 1%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−35.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −36.1% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 264 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +64.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Return on assets 2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 74
PAST (return on equity)12 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 70

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/C9Q

Frequently asked questions

Is SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1615 SGD versus a price of 0.0980 SGD, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of C9Q?
Our model-based fair value for SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.1615 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.0980 SGD.
What is the quality score of C9Q?
SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1615 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1615 SGD, about +65% upside versus a price of 0.0980 SGD (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by -35.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of C9Q use?
Our models discount SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED that is -35.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies -35.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (-35.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 41.13 %: that much free cash flow SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 0.1615 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.0980 SGD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, C9Q trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.0980 SGD, fair value 0.1615 SGD, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of C9Q?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.0980 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1615 SGD). For SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0635 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 94.1M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.0980 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1615 SGD per share.
What is the P/E ratio of C9Q?
SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.1615 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 2.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
Balance-sheet figures for SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.1%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is C9Q from its 52-week high?
SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 0.0980 SGD, about 29% below its 52-week high of 0.1390 SGD and 14% above the low of 0.0860 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1615 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.0980 SGD, calculated fair value 0.1615 SGD (+65%), Quality Score 39/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of C9Q calculated?
We run SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1615 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.0980 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 0.1615 SGD, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1615 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED

How large is the market capitalisation of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The market capitalisation of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 94.1M SGD (≈ $73.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
Earnings per share at SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED are 0.0100 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The net margin of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
The operating margin of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
Revenue at SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing −10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q)?
Earnings per share at SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing +54.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED (C9Q) carry?
The net debt of SINOSTAR PEC HOLDINGS LIMITED is 197M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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