Cabka N.V. (CABKA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cabka N.V. €2.03, price €1.98, upside +2.5%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.41 – €11.13 · fair‑value band €1.33 – €3.23 · the €1.98 price screens below the €2.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Cabka N.V. manufactures and sells pallets and large containers made from recycled plastic in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers plastic, euro, stackable, heavy duty, industrial, rackable, and nestable pallets; customized solutions; track and trace; and life cycle and carbon footprint analysis.
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Cabka N.V. manufactures and sells pallets and large containers made from recycled plastic in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers plastic, euro, stackable, heavy duty, industrial, rackable, and nestable pallets; customized solutions; track and trace; and life cycle and carbon footprint analysis. It also provides pallet boxes, bulk containers, and sleeve packs. The company sells its recycled plastic products to the agriculture, beverage, retail, automotive, chemical, pharmaceutical, and pooling industries. Cabka N.V. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
Cabka N.V. (CABKA) currently trades at €1.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.03, implying the stock looks roughly 2.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €1.37 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the €1.98 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.3200, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.33 (bear) to €3.23 (bull), the price of €1.98 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Cabka N.V. reported revenue of €180M in FY2025 versus €171M in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€7.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €49.1M · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) €−0.3000 · Dividend yield 7.3% · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −13.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 2.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 3%, CABKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.33Fair Value €2.03Bull €3.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.6% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.4% a year for the price and +3.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.57× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cabka N.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CABKA
Frequently asked questions
Is Cabka N.V. (CABKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.03 versus a price of €1.98, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CABKA?
Our model-based fair value for Cabka N.V. is €2.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.98.
What is the quality score of CABKA?
Cabka N.V. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.33, optimistic scenario €3.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cabka N.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.03, about +3% upside versus a price of €1.98 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €1.33, optimistic scenario €3.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Cabka N.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €185M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Cabka N.V. pay a dividend?
Cabka N.V. currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cabka N.V. would have to grow free cash flow by +25.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CABKA use?
Our models discount Cabka N.V. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Netherlands. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cabka N.V. that is +25.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cabka N.V. (CABKA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cabka N.V. grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies +25.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cabka N.V. (CABKA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cabka N.V. (+25.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.29 %: that much free cash flow Cabka N.V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cabka N.V. it is €2.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.98. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cabka N.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CABKA trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.98, fair value €2.03, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CABKA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.03). For Cabka N.V. the two are €0.0500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cabka N.V. worth?
The market values Cabka N.V. at about €49.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.98; our models calculate a fair value of €2.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CABKA?
Our models span a range for Cabka N.V.: cautious scenario €1.33, base €2.03, optimistic €3.23 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cabka N.V. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −13.8%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CABKA from its 52-week high?
Cabka N.V. trades at €1.98, about 6% below its 52-week high of €2.10 and 41% above the low of €1.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cabka N.V.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cabka N.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.98, calculated fair value €2.03 (+3%), Quality Score 40/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CABKA calculated?
We run Cabka N.V. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cabka N.V. currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.98. Our model-based fair value is €2.03, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cabka N.V. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€1.33 to €3.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Cabka N.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The market capitalisation of Cabka N.V. is €49.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cabka N.V. is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Earnings per share at Cabka N.V. are €−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The dividend yield of Cabka N.V. is 7.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The net margin of Cabka N.V. is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cabka N.V. is −13.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cabka N.V. is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The operating margin of Cabka N.V. is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Revenue at Cabka N.V. is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Cabka N.V. (CABKA) carry?
The net debt of Cabka N.V. is €62.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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