Cabka N.V (CABKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · NA · Market cap €51.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −1.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from €1.37 (bear) to €2.05 (bull), base €1.37. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 40/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.41 – €11.13 · fair‑value band €1.37 – €2.05 · the €1.93 price screens above the €1.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Cabka N.V (CABKA) currently trades at €1.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.37, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cabka N.V generated revenue of €185M at a net margin of -4.0%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.8%. Net debt stands at €62.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.37 (bear case) to €2.05 (bull case); at €1.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -29%, CABKA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€1.54) versus Growth DCF (€0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cabka N.V. manufactures and sells pallets and large containers made from recycled plastic in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers plastic, euro, stackable, heavy duty, industrial, rackable, and nestable pallets; customized solutions; track and trace; and life cycle and carbon footprint analysis.
Full company description
Cabka N.V. manufactures and sells pallets and large containers made from recycled plastic in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers plastic, euro, stackable, heavy duty, industrial, rackable, and nestable pallets; customized solutions; track and trace; and life cycle and carbon footprint analysis. It also provides pallet boxes, bulk containers, and sleeve packs. The company sells its recycled plastic products to the agriculture, beverage, retail, automotive, chemical, pharmaceutical, and pooling industries. Cabka N.V. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cabka N.V reported revenue of €180M in FY2025 versus €171M in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€7.4M in FY2025.
CABKA screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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