Cabka N.V. (CABKA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cabka N.V. stock €1.76, price €2.02, that is 12.9% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.41 – €11.13 · fair‑value band €1.19 – €2.75 · the €2.02 price screens above the €1.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Cabka N.V. manufactures and sells pallets and large containers made from recycled plastic in Europe, North America, and internationally.
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The company offers plastic, euro, stackable, heavy duty, industrial, rackable, and nestable pallets; customized solutions; track and trace; and life cycle and carbon footprint analysis. It also provides pallet boxes, bulk containers, and sleeve packs.
The company sells its recycled plastic products to the agriculture, beverage, retail, automotive, chemical, pharmaceutical, and pooling industries. Cabka N.V. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
Cabka N.V. (CABKA) currently trades at €2.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.76, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €3.86 per share, and 5 of the 10 models we run sit above the €2.02 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.31, and 5 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.19 (bear) to €2.75 (bull), the price of €2.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Cabka N.V. reported revenue of €180M in FY2025 versus €171M in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€7.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €59.7M Micro · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0600 · Dividend yield 7.5% · Net margin −0.8% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −13%, CABKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€1.19Fair Value €1.76Bull€2.75
Price €2.02 · Downside -12.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF€1.33€2.03€3.2377
Growth DCF€1.40€2.07€3.1275
Owner Earnings€1.27€1.96€3.1373
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF€1.33€2.03€3.2377
Owner Earnings€1.27€1.96€3.1373
5Y Revenue Exit€0.4800€0.9100€1.5368
5Y EBITDA Exit€2.31€4.05€6.3871
10Y Revenue Exit€0.8200€1.16€1.5165
10Y EBITDA Exit€1.86€2.96€4.1666
Multiples
EV/EBITDA€2.26€3.86€5.4765
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)€0.9800€1.31€1.9654
Growth DCF
Growth DCF€1.40€2.07€3.1275
Rev-Margin DCF€0.4800€0.9700€1.6068
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.6% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.4% a year for the price and +3.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−12.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−4.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−0.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)7.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.57× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.31× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)23.0× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cabka N.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CABKA
Frequently asked questions
Is Cabka N.V. (CABKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.76 versus a price of €2.02, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CABKA?
Our model-based fair value for Cabka N.V. is €1.76 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.02.
What is the quality score of CABKA?
Cabka N.V. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.76 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.19, optimistic scenario €2.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cabka N.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.76, about 13% lower versus a price of €2.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.19, optimistic scenario €2.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Cabka N.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €191M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Cabka N.V. pay a dividend?
Cabka N.V. currently shows a dividend yield of 7.47% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Cabka N.V. has a dividend yield of 7.5%.
What growth is priced into Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cabka N.V. would have to grow free cash flow by +27.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.0 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CABKA use?
Our models discount Cabka N.V. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Netherlands. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cabka N.V. that is +27.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cabka N.V. (CABKA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cabka N.V. grew +6.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +27.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cabka N.V. (CABKA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cabka N.V. (+27.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.35 %: that much free cash flow Cabka N.V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cabka N.V. it is €1.76 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €2.02. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Cabka N.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, CABKA trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.02, fair value €1.76, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CABKA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.76). For Cabka N.V. the two are €0.2605 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cabka N.V. worth?
The market values Cabka N.V. at about €59.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €2.02; our models calculate a fair value of €1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CABKA?
Our models span a range for Cabka N.V.: cautious scenario €1.19, base €1.76, optimistic €2.75 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €2.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cabka N.V. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −2.9%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CABKA from its 52-week high?
Cabka N.V. trades at €2.02, about 10% below its 52-week high of €2.24 and 44% above the low of €1.41 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cabka N.V.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cabka N.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €2.02, calculated fair value €1.76 (−13%), Quality Score 30/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CABKA calculated?
We run Cabka N.V. through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €1.76 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Cabka N.V. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €2.02. Our model-based fair value is €1.76, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cabka N.V. right now?
A fairly wide model range (€1.19 to €2.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Cabka N.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The market capitalisation of Cabka N.V. is €59.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cabka N.V. is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Earnings per share at Cabka N.V. are €−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The dividend yield of Cabka N.V. is 7.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The net margin of Cabka N.V. is −0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cabka N.V. is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cabka N.V. is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
The operating margin of Cabka N.V. is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cabka N.V. (CABKA)?
Revenue at Cabka N.V. is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Cabka N.V. (CABKA) carry?
The net debt of Cabka N.V. is €62.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 9, 2026