Carlos Casado (CADO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Carlos Casado stock ARS 154, price ARS 518, that is 70.2% below the price, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 27.95 ARS – 653.50 ARS · fair‑value band 115.63 ARS – 192.72 ARS · the 518.00 ARS price screens above the 154.18 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Carlos Casado S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agricultural company in Latin America. The company is involved in the real estate construction and development; development and operation of land; production of soybean and corn; and livestock and breeding activities.
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The company was founded in 1883 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Carlos Casado (CADO) currently trades at 518.00 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 154.18 ARS, 70% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 374.48 ARS per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 518.00 ARS price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 33.54 ARS, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 115.63 ARS (bear) to 192.72 ARS (bull), the price of 518.00 ARS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Carlos Casado reported revenue of 14.8B ARS in FY2025 versus 1.1B ARS in FY2021, a compound +91.8%/yr. Reported net income was 888M ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 63.8B ARS (≈ $41.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 70.4 · P/S ratio 8.56 · EPS (TTM) 7.22 ARS · Net margin 11.9% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −70%, CADO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear115.63 ARSFair Value 154.18 ARSBull192.72 ARS
Price 518.00 ARS · Downside -70.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (6.19 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +81.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+81.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → −18%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 304 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−70.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)11.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)2.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−40.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)70.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)8.56× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA79.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 52
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carlos Casado Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CADO
Frequently asked questions
Is Carlos Casado (CADO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 154.18 ARS versus a price of 518.00 ARS, about 70% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CADO?
Our model-based fair value for Carlos Casado is 154.18 ARS (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 518.00 ARS.
What is the quality score of CADO?
Carlos Casado has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 154.18 ARS (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 115.63 ARS, optimistic scenario 192.72 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Carlos Casado stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 154.18 ARS, about 70% lower versus a price of 518.00 ARS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 115.63 ARS, optimistic scenario 192.72 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Carlos Casado reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.5B ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Carlos Casado it is 154.18 ARS per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 518.00 ARS. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Carlos Casado stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CADO trades above its calculated fair value: price 518.00 ARS, fair value 154.18 ARS, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CADO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (518.00 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (154.18 ARS). For Carlos Casado the two are 363.82 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Carlos Casado worth?
The market values Carlos Casado at about 63.8B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 518.00 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 154.18 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CADO?
Our models span a range for Carlos Casado: cautious scenario 115.63 ARS, base 154.18 ARS, optimistic 192.72 ARS per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 518.00 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CADO?
Carlos Casado trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 70.4 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 154.18 ARS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 17.5. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 8.6, EV/EBITDA 79.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Carlos Casado (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CADO from its 52-week high?
Carlos Casado trades at 518.00 ARS, about 12% below its 52-week high of 591.00 ARS and 1% above the low of 514.00 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 154.18 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Carlos Casado?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Carlos Casado stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 518.00 ARS, calculated fair value 154.18 ARS (−70%), Quality Score 37/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CADO calculated?
We run Carlos Casado through 6 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 154.18 ARS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Carlos Casado itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 518.00 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 154.18 ARS, about 70% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Carlos Casado right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (192.72 ARS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Carlos Casado
How large is the market capitalisation of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
The market capitalisation of Carlos Casado is 63.8B ARS (≈ $41.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Carlos Casado is 8.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Earnings per share at Carlos Casado are 7.22 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 70.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
The net margin of Carlos Casado is 11.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Carlos Casado is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Carlos Casado is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Carlos Casado (CADO)?
The operating margin of Carlos Casado is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Revenue at Carlos Casado is growing −40.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Carlos Casado (CADO)?
Earnings per share at Carlos Casado are growing +233% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Carlos Casado (CADO) generate?
The free cash flow of Carlos Casado is −291M ARS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Carlos Casado (CADO) carry?
The net debt of Carlos Casado is 12.7B ARS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026