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Canaan Inc (CAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $245M

CI Canaan Inc logo Canaan Inc CAN · US
Price$0.2138
Fair Value$0.3145
Upside+47.1%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -41.7% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2040 – $0.3910 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −36.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 47% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2040 to $0.3910) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.74 $0.1700 Fair Value $0.3145 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1700 – $12.74 · fair‑value band $0.2040 – $0.3910 · the $0.2138 price screens below the $0.3145 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Canaan Inc (CAN) currently trades at $0.2138, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3145, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Canaan Inc generated revenue of $510M at a net margin of -41.7%. Revenue declined 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -67.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $25.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2040 (bear case) to $0.3910 (bull case); at $0.2138, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 47%, CAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.3000 $0.4000 $0.6000 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3000 $0.4000 $0.6000 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $510M
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.3%
Net margin -41.7%
Return on equity -67.9%
Free cash flow −$308M FY2025
Operating margin -87.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3100
EPS growth (YoY) -91.6%
Net cash $25.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Canaan Inc. engages in the research and development, design, and sale of integrated circuits, and bitcoin mining equipment and related components. The company is involved in the assembly and distribution of mining equipment and spare parts; and mining business.

Full company description

Canaan Inc. engages in the research and development, design, and sale of integrated circuits, and bitcoin mining equipment and related components. The company is involved in the assembly and distribution of mining equipment and spare parts; and mining business. It has operations in the United States, Mainland China, the United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, Canada, Netherlands, Singapore, Ireland, Georgia, Brazil, and internationally. Canaan Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Canaan Inc reported revenue of $530M in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound −42.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$210M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$530M
Latest YoY
+96.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−50.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
−10.8%
Revenue −42.7%/yr
FY21 $4.9B
FY22 $4.5B
FY23 $211M
FY24 $269M
FY25 $530M
Net income
FY21 $2.0B
FY22 $479M
FY23 −$414M
FY24 −$250M
FY25 −$210M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Canaan Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAN

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +47% · Top 25%
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -87% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 96 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Canaan Inc (CAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3145 versus a price of $0.2138, about +47% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CAN?
Our model-based fair value for Canaan Inc is $0.3145 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2138.
What is the quality score of CAN?
Canaan Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Canaan Inc (CAN)?
Canaan Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $510M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CAN?
The net profit margin of Canaan Inc is about -41.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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