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Carboclor S.A (CARC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AR · Market cap 22.3B ARS

CS Carboclor S.A CARC · BA
Price20.45 ARS
Fair Value16.67 ARS
Upside-18.5%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range 13.39 ARS – 19.75 ARS Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 17.85 ARS to 16.67 ARS (−6.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.75 ARS). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.40 ARS 1.56 ARS Fair Value 16.67 ARS Feb 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.56 ARS – 44.40 ARS · fair‑value band 13.39 ARS – 19.75 ARS · the 20.45 ARS price screens above the 16.67 ARS fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Carboclor S.A (CARC) currently trades at 20.45 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.67 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Carboclor S.A generated revenue of 15.9B ARS at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue declined 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.39 ARS (bear case) to 19.75 ARS (bull case); at 20.45 ARS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -18%, CARC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 27.65 ARS 50.58 ARS 88.16 ARS 80
Rev-Margin DCF 17.27 ARS 25.18 ARS 41.92 ARS 74
ROIC Compounder 10.23 ARS 11.20 ARS 12.06 ARS 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 29.12 ARS 43.32 ARS 88.53 ARS 38
Owner Earnings 23.42 ARS 47.73 ARS 98.76 ARS 31
5Y Revenue Exit 16.18 ARS 22.53 ARS 35.64 ARS 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 30.15 ARS 50.78 ARS 91.28 ARS 41
5Y P/E Exit 21.26 ARS 39.62 ARS 64.22 ARS 38
10Y Revenue Exit 19.86 ARS 33.09 ARS 39.85 ARS 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 30.34 ARS 63.18 ARS 120.75 ARS 37
10Y P/E Exit 23.85 ARS 44.03 ARS 76.21 ARS 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.07 ARS 42.33 ARS 59.40 ARS 54
Lynch FV 21.87 ARS 31.24 ARS 40.61 ARS 50
PEG = 1.0 21.87 ARS 31.24 ARS 40.61 ARS 46
EPV 10.23 ARS 11.20 ARS 12.06 ARS 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13.39 ARS 17.85 ARS 22.31 ARS 63
P/S Multiple 11.38 ARS 15.17 ARS 18.97 ARS 58
P/B Multiple 11.38 ARS 15.17 ARS 18.97 ARS 55
EV/EBIT 13.60 ARS 16.67 ARS 19.75 ARS 53
EV/EBITDA 29.53 ARS 37.92 ARS 46.31 ARS 54
EV/Revenue 10.59 ARS 13.25 ARS 15.92 ARS 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.94 ARS 17.34 ARS 25.88 ARS 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 27.65 ARS 50.58 ARS 88.16 ARS 80
Rev-Margin DCF 17.27 ARS 25.18 ARS 41.92 ARS 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 18.98 ARS 18.58 ARS 16.15 ARS 61
ROIC Compounder 10.23 ARS 11.20 ARS 12.06 ARS 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 28.18 ARS 40.25 ARS 52.33 ARS 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (43.32 ARS) versus Economic Profit (11.20 ARS). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.9B ARS
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.5%
Net margin -0.8%
Return on equity 0.4%
Free cash flow 1.6B ARS FY2025
P/E ratio 227.2
More key figures
Operating margin -21.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.0900 ARS
EPS growth (YoY) +754%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 18
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carboclor S.A. provides port, storage, and logistics services in Argentina and internationally. The company offers loading and unloading of ships, barges, trucks, and containers; filling of drums; tanks for storing liquids; and dispatch of products in trucks, as well as produces and sells products and petroleum derivative products.

Full company description

Carboclor S.A. provides port, storage, and logistics services in Argentina and internationally. The company offers loading and unloading of ships, barges, trucks, and containers; filling of drums; tanks for storing liquids; and dispatch of products in trucks, as well as produces and sells products and petroleum derivative products. It also provides port terminal customs information system; and operates tanks for the nitrogen, steam, air, and water sectors. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Campana, Argentina. Carboclor S.A. is a subsidiary of Ancsol S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carboclor S.A reported revenue of 16.4B ARS in FY2025 versus 459M ARS in FY2019, a compound +81.6%/yr. Reported net income was 974M ARS in FY2025, compounding +52.1%/yr from FY2019.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.4B ARS
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+56.0%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.0%
Revenue +81.6%/yr
FY19 459M ARS
FY22 4.3B ARS
FY23 10.3B ARS
FY24 15.8B ARS
FY25 16.4B ARS
Net income +52.1%/yr
FY19 78.6M ARS
FY22 −954M ARS
FY23 336M ARS
FY24 191M ARS
FY25 974M ARS

CARC screens 18% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carboclor S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CARC

Peer Group

Chemicals · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 227.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 1 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carboclor S.A (CARC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.67 ARS versus a price of 20.45 ARS, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CARC?
Our model-based fair value for Carboclor S.A is 16.67 ARS (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.45 ARS.
What is the quality score of CARC?
Carboclor S.A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carboclor S.A (CARC)?
Carboclor S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.9B ARS (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CARC?
The net profit margin of Carboclor S.A is about -0.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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