EN DE

Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$13.0M (≈ $9.3M) · ISIN AU000000CAZ6

What is Cazaly Resources Ltd really worth?

CR Cazaly Resources Ltd CAZ · AU
PriceA$0.0230
Fair ValueA$0.0277
Upside+20.4%
Quality37/100

Below-average quality, trading 17% below our fair value of A$0.0277.

As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Cazaly Resources Ltd is A$0.0277 per share against a price of A$0.0230, so the fair value sits 20% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

Watch Cazaly Resources Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0243 – A$0.0311

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +27.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0243). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0550 A$0.0110 Fair Value A$0.0277 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.0550 · fair‑value band A$0.0243 – A$0.0311 · the A$0.0230 price screens below the A$0.0277 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) currently trades at A$0.0230, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0277, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$0.0800 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the A$0.0230 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$239K. Revenue declined 30.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −24.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0243 (bear case) to A$0.0311 (bull case); at A$0.0230, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 20%, CAZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 68
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 67
EV/EBITDA A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 64
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 68
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1000 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.0800) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (68).

Notify me when CAZ reaches fair value

Put CAZ on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 46.9 TTM
EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100
Return on equity −24.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% avg 5y
Operating margin −202% TTM
Revenue (TTM) A$239K TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −30.8% 3y avg +9.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$2.5M FY2025
Net cash A$2.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cazaly Resources Limited engages in mineral exploration and development activities in Australia, Namibia, and Canada. It explores for rare earth elements, lithium, silver, copper, nicke, zinc, gold, iron ore, cobalt, and base metals deposits. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cazaly Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$287K in FY2025 versus A$216K in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$287K
Latest YoY
−3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−750.2% (2020) → −225.5% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY21 A$216K
FY22 A$221K
FY23 A$309K
FY24 A$297K
FY25 A$287K
Net income
FY21 A$717K
FY22 −A$1.7M
FY23 −A$2.1M
FY24 −A$891K
FY25 −A$5.8M

Watch CAZ: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cazaly Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAZ.AU

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside +30% · Top 25%
Return on assets −15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth −31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 15.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 39.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE74 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 38
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$66.84 A$42.16 −37%
Vale S.A VALE $15.31 $8.95 −42%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR −48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.42 ¥16.15 −12%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $69.34 $32.02 −54%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹573.00 ₹508.34 −11%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥66.76 ¥9.55 −86%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 −74%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.85 ¥25.99 −31%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 −13%

Compare Cazaly Resources Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0277 versus a price of A$0.0230, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CAZ?
Our model-based fair value for Cazaly Resources Ltd is A$0.0277 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0230.
What is the quality score of CAZ?
Cazaly Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0277 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0243, optimistic scenario A$0.0311. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cazaly Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0277, about +20% upside versus a price of A$0.0230 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0243, optimistic scenario A$0.0311. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cazaly Resources Ltd (CAZ)?
Cazaly Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$239K (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CAZ?
The net profit margin of Cazaly Resources Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Free · no account needed

Watch Cazaly Resources Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Cazaly Resources Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.