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Carnegie Clean Energy Limited (CCE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · AU · Market cap A$97.2M

CC Carnegie Clean Energy Limited CCE · AU
PriceA$0.1850
Fair ValueA$0.0765
Upside-58.7%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$0.0510 – A$0.0850 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −19.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0850). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.3500 A$0.0330 Fair Value A$0.0765 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0330 – A$0.3500 · fair‑value band A$0.0510 – A$0.0850 · the A$0.1850 price screens above the A$0.0765 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Carnegie Clean Energy Limited (CCE) currently trades at A$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0765, implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$417K. Revenue grew 72.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.2%. Net debt stands at A$2.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0510 (bear case) to A$0.0850 (bull case); at A$0.1850, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 270% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -59%, CCE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1500 A$0.2400 80
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 61
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.1000 A$0.1400 A$0.2600 38
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0600 39
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.0600 A$0.0900 A$0.0900 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1500 A$0.2400 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (A$0.1500) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$417K
Revenue growth (YoY) +72.3%
Return on equity -13.2%
Free cash flow A$3.5M FY2025
Operating margin -533%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
More key figures
Net debt A$2.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 5
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carnegie Clean Energy Limited engages in the development of the CETO Wave Energy Technology, a submerged point absorber type wave energy converter which converts ocean waves into zero-emission electricity internationally. The company was formerly known as Carnegie Wave Energy Limited and changed its name to Carnegie Clean Energy Limited in December 2016.

Full company description

Carnegie Clean Energy Limited engages in the development of the CETO Wave Energy Technology, a submerged point absorber type wave energy converter which converts ocean waves into zero-emission electricity internationally. The company was formerly known as Carnegie Wave Energy Limited and changed its name to Carnegie Clean Energy Limited in December 2016. Carnegie Clean Energy Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in North Fremantle, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carnegie Clean Energy Limited reported revenue of A$317K in FY2025 versus A$61.0K in FY2021, a compound +51.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$317K
Latest YoY
−8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.9%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Revenue +51.1%/yr
FY21 A$61.0K
FY22 A$322K
FY23 A$384K
FY24 A$347K
FY25 A$317K
Net income
FY21 −A$932K
FY22 −A$1.9M
FY23 −A$630K
FY24 −A$2.3M
FY25 −A$2.3M

CCE screens 59% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carnegie Clean Energy Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCE

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 72% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 12
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 92 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carnegie Clean Energy Limited (CCE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0765 versus a price of A$0.1850, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CCE?
Our model-based fair value for Carnegie Clean Energy Limited is A$0.0765 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.1850.
What is the quality score of CCE?
Carnegie Clean Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carnegie Clean Energy Limited (CCE)?
Carnegie Clean Energy Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$417K (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCE?
The net profit margin of Carnegie Clean Energy Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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