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Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $22.3B

CC Coca-Cola HBC AG logo Coca-Cola HBC AG CCHGY · US
Price$65.70
Fair Value$48.93
Upside-25.5%
Quality69/100
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Evidence: High Range $30.84 – $71.74

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +6.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$68.65 $43.44 Fair Value $48.93 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $43.44 – $68.65 · fair‑value band $30.84 – $71.74 · the $65.70 price screens above the $48.93 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY) currently trades at $65.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.93 — implying the stock looks roughly 25.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola HBC AG generated revenue of $11.6B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.0%. Net debt stands at $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $30.84 (bear case) to $71.74 (bull case); at $65.70, the current price sits within that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside — at -26%, CCHGY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 26.0%
Free cash flow $717M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.3
More key figures
Operating margin 11.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.01
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.0%
Net debt $1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Coca-Cola HBC AG engages in the production, sale, and distribution of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages under franchise in Switzerland, West Coast of Ireland, Central and Eastern Europe, Nigeria, and internationally. It offers sparkling soft drinks, adult sparkling, hydration drinks, juices, ready-to-drink tea and coffee, sports and energy drinks, plant-based drinks, hard seltzers, premium spirit, dairy, and snacks; and distributes third-party products. The company markets and sells its products under several brands, including Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Adez, Averna, Amita, Aquarius, Aperol, Avra, Deep RiverRock, Fruice, Kinley, Schweppes, and various other brands. It serves various consumer channels, such as supermarkets, convenience stores, vending machines, hotels, cafés, and restaurants, as well as e-commerce channels. Coca-Cola HBC AG was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coca-Cola HBC AG reported revenue of $11.1B in FY2025 versus $7.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was $903M in FY2025, compounding +13.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +11.7%/yr
FY21 $7.2B
FY22 $9.2B
FY23 $10.2B
FY24 $10.8B
FY25 $11.1B
Net income +13.3%/yr
FY21 $547M
FY22 $415M
FY23 $637M
FY24 $821M
FY25 $903M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola HBC AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CCHGY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company CCC3 €69.53 €27.59 -60%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP 2,483 MXN 1,474 MXN -41%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $93.02 $56.09 -40%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.72 HK$74.64 +79%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $91.00 $50.41 -45%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. C2CA34 R$108.87 R$48.98 -55%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $30.87 $32.62 +6%
Arca Continental, S.A. EMBVF $11.82 $13.98 +18%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹523.30 ₹99.11 -81%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥131.88 ¥194.38 +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $48.93 versus a price of $65.70 — about −26% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CCHGY?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola HBC AG is $48.93 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $65.70.
What is the quality score of CCHGY?
Coca-Cola HBC AG has a Quality Score of 69/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY)?
Coca-Cola HBC AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.6B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CCHGY?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola HBC AG is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Coca-Cola HBC AG pay a dividend?
Coca-Cola HBC AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.