Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co (605499) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 92.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −2.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥80.33 to ¥360.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from ¥80.33 (bear) to ¥360.41 (bull), base ¥107.57. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥36.07 – ¥252.22 · fair‑value band ¥80.33 – ¥360.41 · the ¥120.89 price screens above the ¥107.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co (605499) currently trades at ¥120.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥107.57, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co generated revenue of 21.9B CNY at a net margin of 21.4%. Revenue grew 21.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.2%. Net debt stands at 950M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥80.33 (bear case) to ¥360.41 (bull case); at ¥120.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -11%, 605499 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥272.96) versus Asset-Based (¥9.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of beverages in the People's Republic of China. The company offers energy, sports, tea, coffee, plant-based protein, electrolytes, and fruit and vegetable juice beverages.
Full company description
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of beverages in the People's Republic of China. The company offers energy, sports, tea, coffee, plant-based protein, electrolytes, and fruit and vegetable juice beverages. It also provides eastroc beverages, including eastroc ewater, eastroc coffee master, eastroc tea, eastroc milk tea, eastroc roasted good tea, and eastroc coco island. In addition, the company engages in international trade business, as well as provision of supply chain management services. It primarily exports its products to the United States, South Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Indonesia. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Eastroc Beverage Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd. in March 2018. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥20.9B in FY2025 versus ¥7.0B in FY2021, a compound +31.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.4B in FY2025, compounding +38.7%/yr from FY2021.
605499 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $86.83 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $137.38 | $106.91 | -22% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| MIXUE Group 2097 | HK$229.20 | HK$339.26 | +48% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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