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City Developments Limited (CDEVY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $5.7B

CD City Developments Limited logo City Developments Limited CDEVY · US
Price$6.04
Fair Value$9.14
Upside+51.3%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
3.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range $6.85 – $11.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $9.10 to $9.14 (+0.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 51% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.85). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.96 $3.10 Fair Value $9.14 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.10 – $7.96 · fair‑value band $6.85 – $11.42 · the $6.04 price screens below the $9.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

City Developments Limited (CDEVY) currently trades at $6.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.14, implying the stock looks roughly 51.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, City Developments Limited generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at $12.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.85 (bear case) to $11.42 (bull case); at $6.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 51%, CDEVY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $8.42 $8.70 $8.87 76
Gordon GGM $1.37 $2.10 $2.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.37 $1.95 $2.57 61
All 8 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.37 $2.10 $2.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.37 $1.95 $2.57 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $8.84 $11.79 $14.74 58
P/B Multiple $8.84 $11.79 $14.74 55
EV/EBIT $0.2900 $2.64 53
EV/EBITDA $0.3900 $3.57 $6.75 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.37 $7.19 $10.73 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.42 $8.70 $8.87 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($8.70) versus Dividend Discount ($1.95). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 17.6%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow −$2.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.1
More key figures
Operating margin 10.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.5300
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +366%
Net debt $12.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

City Developments Limited (CDL) is a leading global real estate company with a network spanning 167 locations across 28 countries and regions. Listed on the Singapore Exchange, the Group is one of the largest companies by market capitalization.

Full company description

City Developments Limited (CDL) is a leading global real estate company with a network spanning 167 locations across 28 countries and regions. Listed on the Singapore Exchange, the Group is one of the largest companies by market capitalization. Its income-stable and geographically diverse portfolio comprises residences, offices, hotels, serviced apartments, student accommodation, retail malls and integrated developments. With a proven track record of over 60 years in real estate development, investment, and management, the Group has developed over 55,000 homes and owns around 23 million square feet of gross floor area in residential for lease, commercial and hospitality assets globally. The Group owns, operates and manages more than 160 hotels worldwide, many in key gateway cities, primarily through its flagship Millennium Hotels and Resorts (MHR). City Developments Limited was established on September 7th, 1963 and incorporated in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

City Developments Limited reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $620M in FY2025, compounding +64.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.5B
Latest YoY
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+2.2%
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 $2.6B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 $3.3B
FY25 $3.5B
Net income +64.5%/yr
FY21 $84.7M
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $317M
FY24 $201M
FY25 $620M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "City Developments Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDEVY

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside +51% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.07× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 21.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.58× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 56 · sector 0
PAST 26 · sector 10
HEALTH 47 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 60 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is City Developments Limited (CDEVY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.14 versus a price of $6.04, about +51% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CDEVY?
Our model-based fair value for City Developments Limited is $9.14 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.04.
What is the quality score of CDEVY?
City Developments Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of City Developments Limited (CDEVY)?
City Developments Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CDEVY?
The net profit margin of City Developments Limited is about 17.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does City Developments Limited pay a dividend?
City Developments Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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