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Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Canadian Utilities Limited $9.10, price $35.55, upside -74.4%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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CU
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Canadian Utilities Limited
CDUAF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $9.10 · Strongly overvalued (−74.4%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!5.2% dividend yield · Payout strained
!Narrow moat 44/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.03 – $40.16 · fair‑value band $4.14 – $11.81 · the $35.55 price screens above the $9.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Canadian Utilities Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electricity, natural gas, renewables, pipelines, and liquids businesses in Canada, Australia, and internationally. It operates through ATCO Energy Systems, ATCO EnPower, ATCO Australia, and Financing & Other segments.
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Canadian Utilities Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electricity, natural gas, renewables, pipelines, and liquids businesses in Canada, Australia, and internationally. It operates through ATCO Energy Systems, ATCO EnPower, ATCO Australia, and Financing & Other segments. The ATCO Energy Systems segment provides regulated electricity transmission and distribution services in northern and central east Alberta, the Yukon, the Northwest Territories, and in the Lloydminster area of Saskatchewan; and international electricity services, as well as offers integrated natural gas transmission and distribution services throughout Alberta and in the Lloydminster area of Saskatchewan. The ATCO EnPower segment provides electricity generation, natural gas storage, industrial water solutions, and related infrastructure development throughout Alberta, the Northwest Territories, Ontario, Mexico, and Chile. The ATCO Australia segment offers regulated natural gas distribution services in Western Australia and electricity generation services. It also provides home maintenance solutions. The company was incorporated in 1927 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Canadian Utilities Limited is a subsidiary of ATCO Ltd.
Stock analysis
Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) currently trades at $35.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.10, 74.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $18.34 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $35.55 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.89, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $4.14 (bear) to $11.81 (bull), the price of $35.55 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Canadian Utilities Limited reported revenue of C$3.7B in FY2025 versus C$3.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$119M in FY2025, compounding −25.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.7B · P/E ratio 526.9 · P/S ratio 17.0 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −74%, CDUAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.14
Fair Value $9.10
Bull $11.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
$4.51
>$18.04
76
Residual Income
$12.00
$11.53
$11.40
75
Growth DCF
n/a
$5.06
$19.00
74
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
$4.51
>$18.04
76
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$7.63
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.46
$19.21
$39.79
67
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$6.31
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$12.76
$28.23
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.09
$3.89
$4.83
63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$13.62
$18.34
$23.13
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$13.62
$18.79
$24.93
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$4.14
$5.53
$6.91
61
P/S Multiple
$3.91
$5.22
$6.52
56
P/B Multiple
$3.91
$5.22
$6.52
53
EV/EBIT
n/a
$3.30
$11.37
59
EV/EBITDA
$12.18
$25.90
$39.62
62
EV/Revenue
n/a
n/a
$1.96
49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$8.51
$11.41
$17.02
52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$5.06
$19.00
74
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
n/a
$7.25
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$12.00
$11.53
$11.40
75
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$2.97
$4.25
$5.52
66
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
43/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Profitability
17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.2% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−22.5% vs −14.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.6% a year for the price.
CDUAF screens overvalued: fair value 74% below the price. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (84 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- Did Alberta’s PBR2 Court Ruling Just Quietly Reframe Canadian Utilities’ (TSX:CU) Regulatory Risk Profile?
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- Canadian Utilities Receives Alberta Court of Appeal Decision
- CANADIAN UTILITIES REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €20.73 | €9.92 | −52% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €8.67 | €3.30 | −62% |
| Engie SA ENGI | €22.52 | €20.64 | −8% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE | €59.10 | €43.37 | −27% |
| Sempra SRE | $78.05 | $43.34 | −44% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €17.02 | €8.95 | −47% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 171.00 SAR | 27.47 SAR | −84% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP | $35.79 | $18.02 | −50% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €68.00 | €21.11 | −69% |
| EDP, S.A EDP | €4.84 | €3.81 | −21% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.10 versus a price of $35.55, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CDUAF?
Our model-based fair value for Canadian Utilities Limited is $9.10 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $35.55.
What is the quality score of CDUAF?
Canadian Utilities Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.10 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.14, optimistic scenario $11.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Canadian Utilities Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.10, about −74% upside versus a price of $35.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.14, optimistic scenario $11.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
Canadian Utilities Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$3.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Canadian Utilities Limited pay a dividend?
Canadian Utilities Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.16% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Canadian Utilities Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +23.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CDUAF use?
Our models discount Canadian Utilities Limited at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Canadian Utilities Limited that is +23.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Canadian Utilities Limited grew +2.7 % a year. The price currently implies +23.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Canadian Utilities Limited (+23.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.59 %: that much free cash flow Canadian Utilities Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Canadian Utilities Limited it is $9.10 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $35.55. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Canadian Utilities Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, CDUAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $35.55, fair value $9.10, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CDUAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($35.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.10). For Canadian Utilities Limited the two are $26.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Canadian Utilities Limited worth?
The market values Canadian Utilities Limited at about $9.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $35.55; our models calculate a fair value of $9.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CDUAF?
Our models span a range for Canadian Utilities Limited: cautious scenario $4.14, base $9.10, optimistic $11.81 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $35.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is CDUAF from its 52-week high?
Canadian Utilities Limited trades at $35.55, about 11% below its 52-week high of $40.16 and 33% above the low of $26.67 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Canadian Utilities Limited?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, Engie SA, RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Canadian Utilities Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $35.55, calculated fair value $9.10 (−74%), Quality Score 43/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CDUAF calculated?
We run Canadian Utilities Limited through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Canadian Utilities Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $35.55. Our model-based fair value is $9.10, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Canadian Utilities Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($4.14 to $11.81). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) come from?
Earnings per share at Canadian Utilities Limited grew +1.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin +0.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Canadian Utilities Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The market capitalisation of Canadian Utilities Limited is $9.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Canadian Utilities Limited is 526.9 (as of Jun 19, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Canadian Utilities Limited is 17.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
Earnings per share at Canadian Utilities Limited are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 526.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The dividend yield of Canadian Utilities Limited is 5.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The net margin of Canadian Utilities Limited is 3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Canadian Utilities Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Canadian Utilities Limited is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
The operating margin of Canadian Utilities Limited is 36.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
Revenue at Canadian Utilities Limited is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF)?
Earnings per share at Canadian Utilities Limited are growing −6.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Canadian Utilities Limited (CDUAF) carry?
The net debt of Canadian Utilities Limited is C$11.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 23.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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