Cadiz Inc (CDZI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Cadiz Inc $0.62, price $3.83, upside -83.8%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.57 – $14.55 · fair‑value band $0.3900 – $0.7800 · the $3.83 price screens above the $0.6200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Cadiz Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides water solutions in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Land and Water Resources; and Water Filtration Technology. It offers water supply, water storage, and water conveyance, and wastewater treatment services, as well as local distribution systems and products.
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Cadiz Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides water solutions in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Land and Water Resources; and Water Filtration Technology. It offers water supply, water storage, and water conveyance, and wastewater treatment services, as well as local distribution systems and products. The company also provides water filtration solutions for impaired or contaminated groundwater sources. In addition, it is involved in the cultivation of grain crops, including alfalfa. The company serves public and private water systems, government agencies, and commercial businesses. Cadiz Inc. was founded in 1983 and is based in Los Angeles, California.
Stock analysis
Cadiz Inc (CDZI) currently trades at $3.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6200, 83.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.7700 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $3.83 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1800, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3900 (bear) to $0.7800 (bull), the price of $3.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cadiz Inc reported revenue of $16.3M in FY2025 versus $564K in FY2021, a compound +131.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $322M · P/S ratio 26.5 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4700 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Return on equity −183% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.1% · Operating margin −902% · Revenue (TTM) $11.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −84%, CDZI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3900Fair Value $0.6200Bull $0.7800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+69.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+121.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+97.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +48.9% a year
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,172.6% (2020) → −156.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 82 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cadiz Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDZI
Frequently asked questions
Is Cadiz Inc (CDZI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6200 versus a price of $3.83, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CDZI?
Our model-based fair value for Cadiz Inc is $0.6200 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.83.
What is the quality score of CDZI?
Cadiz Inc has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6200 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3900, optimistic scenario $0.7800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cadiz Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6200, about −84% upside versus a price of $3.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3900, optimistic scenario $0.7800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
Cadiz Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.8M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Cadiz Inc pay a dividend?
Cadiz Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.63% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cadiz Inc it is $0.6200 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $3.83. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cadiz Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, CDZI trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.83, fair value $0.6200, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CDZI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6200). For Cadiz Inc the two are $3.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cadiz Inc worth?
The market values Cadiz Inc at about $322M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $3.83; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CDZI?
Our models span a range for Cadiz Inc: cautious scenario $0.3900, base $0.6200, optimistic $0.7800 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $3.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CDZI?
The PEG ratio of Cadiz Inc is 1.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cadiz Inc (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −183.1%, debt of 3.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CDZI from its 52-week high?
Cadiz Inc trades at $3.83, about 45% below its 52-week high of $6.92 and 29% above the low of $2.98 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cadiz Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, CECO Environmental Corp, Fujian Longking Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cadiz Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $3.83, calculated fair value $0.6200 (−84%), Quality Score 23/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CDZI calculated?
We run Cadiz Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cadiz Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.83. Our model-based fair value is $0.6200, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cadiz Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3900 to $0.7800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Cadiz Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
The market capitalisation of Cadiz Inc is $322M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cadiz Inc is 26.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
Earnings per share at Cadiz Inc are $−0.4700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
The dividend yield of Cadiz Inc is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cadiz Inc is −183% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cadiz Inc is −17.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
The operating margin of Cadiz Inc is −902% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cadiz Inc (CDZI)?
Revenue at Cadiz Inc is growing −76.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +122%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Cadiz Inc (CDZI) generate?
The free cash flow of Cadiz Inc is −$26.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cadiz Inc (CDZI) carry?
The net debt of Cadiz Inc is $95.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 2, 2026