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Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA (CEEB3) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$12.3B

CD Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA CEEB3 · SA
PriceR$45.31
Fair ValueR$128.37
Upside+183.3%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: High Range R$54.66 – R$161.64

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026 — revised from R$229.71 to R$128.37 (−44.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$50.00 R$31.61 Fair Value R$128.37 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$31.61 – R$50.00 · fair‑value band R$54.66 – R$161.64 · the R$45.31 price screens below the R$128.37 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA (CEEB3) currently trades at R$45.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$128.37 — implying the stock looks roughly 183.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA generated revenue of R$18.4B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.6%. Net debt stands at R$18.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$54.66 (bear case) to R$161.64 (bull case); at R$45.31, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside — at 183%, CEEB3 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$18.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.5%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 25.6%
Free cash flow R$1.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 2.0
More key figures
Operating margin 23.2%
EPS (TTM) R$23.43
EPS growth (YoY) -20.8%
Net debt R$18.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA engages in the distribution of electricity. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil. Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA operates as a subsidiary of Iberdrola, S.A.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA reported revenue of R$18.4B in FY2025 versus R$13.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.0B in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 R$13.0B
FY22 R$12.1B
FY23 R$15.2B
FY24 R$16.5B
FY25 R$18.4B
Net income +4.0%/yr
FY21 R$1.7B
FY22 R$1.6B
FY23 R$1.8B
FY24 R$1.8B
FY25 R$2.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEEB3

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $85.84 $29.63 -65%
The Southern Company SO $93.43 $58.74 -37%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $123.52 $96.52 -22%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 43,418 ARS -29%
American Electric Power Company A1EP34 R$324.00 R$48.73 -85%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $66.77 $48.26 -28%
Entergy Corporation ETR $112.20 $39.57 -65%
Xcel Energy Inc X1EL34 R$201.47 R$18.60 -91%
Exelon Corporation E1XC34 R$232.84 R$74.72 -68%
Endesa, S.A ELEZY $21.98 $14.91 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA (CEEB3) undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$128.37 versus a price of R$45.31 — about +183% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CEEB3?
Our model-based fair value for Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA is R$128.37 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$45.31.
What is the quality score of CEEB3?
Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA (CEEB3)?
Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$18.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CEEB3?
The net profit margin of Companhia de Eletricidade do Estado da Bahia - COELBA is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.