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Xcel Energy Inc (X1EL34) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$252B

XE Xcel Energy Inc X1EL34 · SA
PriceR$201.47
Fair ValueR$22.15
Upside-89.0%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range R$16.88 – R$28.79

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from R$18.60 to R$22.15 (+19.1%) since Jun 23, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R$211.53 R$190.99 Fair Value R$22.15 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R$190.99 – R$211.53 · fair‑value band R$16.88 – R$28.79 · the R$201.47 price screens above the R$22.15 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Xcel Energy Inc (X1EL34) currently trades at R$201.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$22.15 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xcel Energy Inc generated revenue of R$14.8B at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at R$33.6B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$16.88 (bear case) to R$28.79 (bull case); at R$201.47, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside — at -89%, X1EL34 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$14.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.9%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow −R$6.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.9
More key figures
Operating margin 18.2%
EPS (TTM) R$8.78
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net debt R$33.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas delivery company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility and Regulated Natural Gas Utility segments. The company generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity through its energy portfolio, including wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar power from both owned generation facilities and PPAs, as well as its fossil fuel energy portfolio, such as coal and natural gas; sale and resale of wholesale transmission service; and engages in wholesale commodity and trading operations. It also purchases, transports, stores, distributes, and sells natural gas; develops and leases natural gas pipelines and storage facilities; operates interstate natural gas pipeline; and invests in rental housing projects, energy technology companies, and community solar garden nonregulated assets. It serves electric and natural gas customers in portions of Colorado, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xcel Energy Inc reported revenue of R$14.7B in FY2025 versus R$13.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.0B in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 R$13.4B
FY22 R$15.3B
FY23 R$14.2B
FY24 R$13.4B
FY25 R$14.7B
Net income +6.0%/yr
FY21 R$1.6B
FY22 R$1.7B
FY23 R$1.8B
FY24 R$1.9B
FY25 R$2.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xcel Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/X1EL34

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $85.84 $29.63 -65%
The Southern Company SO $93.43 $58.74 -37%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $123.52 $96.52 -22%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 36,339 ARS -41%
American Electric Power Company A1EP34 R$324.00 R$48.73 -85%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $66.77 $48.26 -28%
Entergy Corporation ETR $112.20 $39.57 -65%
Exelon Corporation E1XC34 R$232.84 R$151.43 -35%
Endesa, S.A ELEZY $22.33 $15.08 -32%
Public Service Enterprise Group PEG $80.61 $34.27 -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xcel Energy Inc (X1EL34) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$22.15 versus a price of R$201.47 — about −89% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of X1EL34?
Our model-based fair value for Xcel Energy Inc is R$22.15 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$201.47.
What is the quality score of X1EL34?
Xcel Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Xcel Energy Inc (X1EL34)?
Xcel Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$14.8B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of X1EL34?
The net profit margin of Xcel Energy Inc is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xcel Energy Inc pay a dividend?
Xcel Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.