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CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of CTS Eventim AG $72.72, price $58.55, upside +24.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026
Some data
Sep 23, 2026
CTS Eventim AG
CEVMF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $72.72 · Undervalued (+24.2%)
!Quality 56/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +64.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.5% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $32.89 – $122.69 · fair‑value band $54.54 – $90.90 · the $58.55 price screens below the $72.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the leisure events market in Germany, Italy, Switzerland, the United States, Austria, the United Kingdom, Spain, Netherlands, Finland, France, Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Chile, Brazil, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Ticketing and Live Entertainment.
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CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the leisure events market in Germany, Italy, Switzerland, the United States, Austria, the United Kingdom, Spain, Netherlands, Finland, France, Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Chile, Brazil, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Ticketing and Live Entertainment. Its Ticketing segment produces, sells, brokers, distributes, and markets tickets for concerts, festivals, plays, musicals, trade fairs, art shows, film showings, exhibitions, edutainment, sports, and other events. It markets tickets in-store, online, and via mobile devices through using the internet EVENTIM.Web; EVENTIM.Net, its network platform; EVENTIM.Inhouse, for in-house ticketing; EVENTIM.Tixx, for sports ticketing; EVENTIM.Light, a self-service product for small, independent organizers; and EVENTIM.Access, a solution for ticket sales and admission control. This segment also provides EVENTIM.Pass ticket, which protects unauthorized resale and offers artists and organizers fair revenue and control. The Live Entertainment segment plans, prepares, and performs tours, events, and festivals, including music events and concerts, as well as markets music productions. This segment is also involved in the operation of venues. The company was formerly known as CTS EVENTIM AG and changed its name to CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA in May 2014. CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany.
Stock analysis
CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) currently trades at $58.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $72.72, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $113.52 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the $58.55 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.49, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $54.54 (bear) to $90.90 (bull), the price of $58.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CTS Eventim AG reported revenue of €3.1B in FY2025 versus €408M in FY2021, a compound +65.8%/yr. Reported net income was €277M in FY2025, compounding +33.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $6.1B · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 1.48 · EPS (TTM) $3.56 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 24%, CEVMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $54.54
Fair Value $72.72
Bull $90.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.60 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$42.06
$56.19
$100.25
78
Growth DCF
$40.47
$60.09
$98.48
77
EPV
$49.17
$54.43
$58.96
74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$42.06
$56.19
$100.25
78
Owner Earnings
$42.27
$74.36
$139.27
73
5Y Revenue Exit
$62.00
$104.39
$192.06
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
$66.80
$114.26
$205.87
72
5Y P/E Exit
$62.18
$123.74
$207.43
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$54.16
$113.52
$163.71
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$59.66
$123.28
$244.91
64
10Y P/E Exit
$56.39
$113.88
$216.71
60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$22.10
$154.14
$216.32
63
Lynch FV
$53.95
$77.07
$100.19
61
PEG = 1.0
$53.95
$77.07
$100.19
57
EPV
$49.17
$54.43
$58.96
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$16.41
$32.69
$49.50
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$16.41
$28.25
$34.51
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$53.63
$71.51
$89.39
63
P/S Multiple
$41.44
$55.26
$69.07
58
P/B Multiple
$33.28
$44.37
$55.46
55
EV/EBIT
$81.59
$103.50
$125.40
66
EV/EBITDA
$75.88
$95.89
$115.89
67
EV/Revenue
$65.71
$87.07
$108.43
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$6.34
$8.49
$12.68
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$40.47
$60.09
$98.48
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$62.00
$116.99
$208.65
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$19.88
$24.90
$43.05
73
ROIC Compounder
$49.17
$54.43
$58.96
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$71.60
$102.28
$132.96
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Profitability
53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+22.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.2% vs 12.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−58% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.8% a year for the price and +2.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.2%
Watch CEVMF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (58 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA (CEVMF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record H1 Revenue and ...
- CTS EVENTIM Generates Double-digit Increases in Revenue and Earnings in the First Half of 2026
- Revenue Beat: CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA Beat Analyst Estimates By 14%
- CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA (CEVMF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth ...
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $69.58 | $76.54 | +10% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $104.90 | $101.23 | −3% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $30.86 | $13.47 | −56% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $170.87 | $48.93 | −71% |
| TKO Group TKO | $182.67 | $69.66 | −62% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €14.59 | €16.05 | +10% |
| Fox Corporation FOX | $56.54 | $65.92 | +17% |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $94.61 | $104.07 | +10% |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $152.67 | $42.86 | −72% |
| News Corporation NWS | $31.75 | $17.05 | −46% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $72.72 versus a price of $58.55, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CEVMF?
Our model-based fair value for CTS Eventim AG is $72.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $58.55.
What is the quality score of CEVMF?
CTS Eventim AG has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $72.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $54.54, optimistic scenario $90.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CTS Eventim AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $72.72, about +24% upside versus a price of $58.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $54.54, optimistic scenario $90.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
CTS Eventim AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does CTS Eventim AG pay a dividend?
CTS Eventim AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CTS Eventim AG would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +64.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CEVMF use?
Our models discount CTS Eventim AG at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CTS Eventim AG that is +15.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CTS Eventim AG grew +64.3 % a year. The price currently implies +15.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CTS Eventim AG (+15.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.63 %: that much free cash flow CTS Eventim AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CTS Eventim AG it is $72.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $58.55. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CTS Eventim AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CEVMF trades below its calculated fair value: price $58.55, fair value $72.72, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEVMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($58.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($72.72). For CTS Eventim AG the two are $14.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CTS Eventim AG worth?
The market values CTS Eventim AG at about $6.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $58.55; our models calculate a fair value of $72.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEVMF?
Our models span a range for CTS Eventim AG: cautious scenario $54.54, base $72.72, optimistic $90.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $58.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is CEVMF from its 52-week high?
CTS Eventim AG trades at $58.55, about 38% below its 52-week high of $94.42 and 11% above the low of $52.72 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $72.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CTS Eventim AG?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CTS Eventim AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $58.55, calculated fair value $72.72 (+24%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEVMF calculated?
We run CTS Eventim AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $72.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CTS Eventim AG currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $58.55. Our model-based fair value is $72.72, about +24% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CTS Eventim AG right now?
Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) come from?
Earnings per share at CTS Eventim AG grew +14.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.9 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CTS Eventim AG
How large is the market capitalisation of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The market capitalisation of CTS Eventim AG is $6.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of CTS Eventim AG is 16.4. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CTS Eventim AG is 1.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
Earnings per share at CTS Eventim AG are $3.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The dividend yield of CTS Eventim AG is 2.5% (payout 40.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The net margin of CTS Eventim AG is 9.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CTS Eventim AG is 25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CTS Eventim AG is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
The operating margin of CTS Eventim AG is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
Revenue at CTS Eventim AG is growing +23.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF)?
Earnings per share at CTS Eventim AG are growing +38.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does CTS Eventim AG (CEVMF) hold?
CTS Eventim AG holds more cash than debt, €1.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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