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CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L ₹161, price ₹264, upside -38.9%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · IN · ISIN INE037Z01029

CE Some data Sep 27, 2026

CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L

CEWATER · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹161.48 · Strongly overvalued (−38.9%)
!Quality 25/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +17.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹827.10 ₹241.25 Fair Value ₹161.48 Dec 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range ₹241.25 – ₹827.10 · fair‑value band ₹113.04 – ₹202.86 · the ₹264.45 price screens above the ₹161.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Concord Enviro Systems Limited engages in providing water and wastewater treatment, and reuse solutions.

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Concord Enviro Systems Limited engages in providing water and wastewater treatment, and reuse solutions. It offers effluent treatment plants, anaerobic digestors, membrane bio-reactors, and sewage treatment plants; and membrane-based systems, such as ultra-filtration, nano-filtration, reverse osmosis, desalination systems, waste heat evaporators, and rehabilitation and modification services. The company also provides plant operations and maintenance; consumables and spare parts, including membranes, plants chemicals, and consumables; and compressed biogas plants installation services, as well as zero liquid discharge systems and plants. It serves customers in pharmaceuticals, chemicals, distillery, food and beverage, automobiles, leachate, steel, textiles, oil and gas, tanneries, cement, paper, paint, electronics, mining and minerals, real estate, and sea water desalination solutions industries in Asia, Africa, Latin America, and Europe. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER) currently trades at ₹264.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹161.48, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹245.89 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹264.45 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹91.55, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ₹113.04 (bear) to ₹202.86 (bull), the price of ₹264.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L reported revenue of ₹5.6B in FY2026 versus ₹3.3B in FY2022, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹198M in FY2026, compounding +4.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹7.3B (≈ $76.0M) · P/E ratio 24.0 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.02 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 6.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −39%, CEWATER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹113.04 Fair Value ₹161.48 Bull ₹202.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.43 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ₹173.78 ₹245.89 ₹343.55 74
EPV ₹88.85 ₹95.95 ₹101.71 74
ROIC Compounder ₹88.85 ₹95.95 ₹101.71 69
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹173.78 ₹245.89 ₹343.55 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹64.91 ₹258.37 ₹351.08 61
Lynch FV ₹64.08 ₹91.55 ₹119.01 58
PEG = 1.0 ₹64.08 ₹91.55 ₹119.01 55
EPV ₹88.85 ₹95.95 ₹101.71 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹150.35 ₹200.47 ₹250.59 63
P/S Multiple ₹121.71 ₹162.29 ₹202.86 58
P/B Multiple ₹121.71 ₹162.29 ₹202.86 55
EV/EBIT ₹153.25 ₹194.44 ₹235.62 66
EV/EBITDA ₹202.24 ₹259.76 ₹317.27 67
EV/Revenue ₹117.88 ₹155.67 ₹193.47 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹138.09 ₹185.03 ₹276.17 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹181.89 ₹170.82 ₹169.12 68
ROIC Compounder ₹88.85 ₹95.95 ₹101.71 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹113.04 ₹161.48 ₹209.93 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 2
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 4%

CEWATER screens 64% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 65 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.1% · Below median
Return on assets 1.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.31× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 66
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $130.91 $64.66 −51%
SBS SBS $5.18 $7.54 +46%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $39.53 $23.30 −41%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥28.68 ¥57.09 +99%
American States Water Company AWR $82.80 $38.40 −54%
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥7.05 ¥9.09 +29%
California Water Service Group CWT $46.17 $25.75 −44%
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥3.98 ¥1.76 −56%
H2O America, through its subsidiaries, HTO $62.27 $29.35 −53%
Zhongshan Public Utilities Group 000685 ¥10.81 ¥14.39 +33%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEWATER

Frequently asked questions

Is CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹161.48 versus a price of ₹264.45, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CEWATER?
Our model-based fair value for CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is ₹161.48 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹264.45.
What is the quality score of CEWATER?
CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹161.48 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹113.04, optimistic scenario ₹202.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹161.48, about −39% upside versus a price of ₹264.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹113.04, optimistic scenario ₹202.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L it is ₹161.48 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹264.45. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CEWATER trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹264.45, fair value ₹161.48, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEWATER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹264.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹161.48). For CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L the two are ₹102.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L worth?
The market values CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L at about ₹7.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹264.45; our models calculate a fair value of ₹161.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEWATER?
Our models span a range for CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L: cautious scenario ₹113.04, base ₹161.48, optimistic ₹202.86 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹264.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEWATER?
CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹161.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 17.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
Balance-sheet figures for CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEWATER from its 52-week high?
CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L trades at ₹264.45, about 49% below its 52-week high of ₹521.25 and 10% above the low of ₹241.25 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹161.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, SBS, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹264.45, calculated fair value ₹161.48 (−39%), Quality Score 25/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEWATER calculated?
We run CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹161.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹264.45. Our model-based fair value is ₹161.48, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹202.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L

How large is the market capitalisation of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
The market capitalisation of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is ₹7.3B (≈ $76.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
Earnings per share at CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L are ₹11.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
The net margin of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is 3.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
The operating margin of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
Revenue at CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER)?
Earnings per share at CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L are growing −69.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER) generate?
The free cash flow of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is −₹593M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L (CEWATER) carry?
The net debt of CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L is ₹1.0B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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