Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc stock $92.65, price $157, that is 40.9% below the price, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc
CFR · USOur calculation puts a fair price 41% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.19 – $169.00 · fair‑value band $72.96 – $139.92 · the $156.68 price screens above the $92.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Frost Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services in Texas.
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The company offers commercial banking services to corporations, including financing for industrial and commercial properties, interim construction related to industrial and commercial properties, equipment, inventories and accounts receivables, and acquisitions; and treasury management services.
It also provides consumer banking services, such as checking accounts, automated-teller machines (ATMs), overdraft facilities, installment and real estate loans, first mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, drive-in and night deposit services, safe deposit facilities, and brokerage services.
In addition, the company offers international banking services comprising deposits, loans, letters of credit, foreign collections, funds transmitting, and foreign exchange services; correspondent banking activities, including check clearing, transfer of funds, fixed income security services, and securities custody and clearance services.
Further, it offers trust, investment, agency, and custodial services for individual and corporate clients; capital market services that include sales and trading, new issue underwriting, money market trading, advisory, and securities safekeeping and clearance; and support for international business activities, including foreign exchange, letters of credit, export-import financing, and other related activities.
Additionally, the company offers insurance and securities brokerage services; holding of securities for investment purposes; and investment management services for mutual funds, institutions, and individuals.
It serves energy, manufacturing, services, construction, retail, telecommunications, healthcare, military, and transportation industries. Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
Stock analysis
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) currently trades at $156.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $92.65, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $92.65 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $156.68 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $42.22, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $72.96 (bear) to $139.92 (bull), the price of $156.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +20.3%/yr. Reported net income was $649M in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.8B Mid · P/E ratio 14.6 · P/S ratio 4.28 · EPS (TTM) $10.75 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 30.0% · Return on equity 15.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −41%, CFR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 6 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $587,392 and none bought.
- SaleMatthew Bradley HensonChief Accounting Officer534 shares at $159.72$85,290Nov 2, 2026
- SaleBobby BermanGEVP Research & Strategy2× since Jan 30, 2026: 3,406 shares, avg. $151.22$515,053Oct 30, 2026
- SaleCarol Jean SeverynGEVP and Chief Risk Officer837 shares at $148.29$124,119Jun 12, 2026
- SaleEricka Lynn PullinGEVP, Culture & People Dev.0.34 shares at $129.74$44Dec 12, 2025
- SaleCoolidge E Rhodes JRGroup EVP General Counsel/Sec700 shares at $127.00$88,900Dec 9, 2025
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
CFR screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →
Recent news
- Earnings Beat Could Be A Big Moment For Cullen Frost Bankers Stock (CFR)
- Cullen Frost Bankers (CFR) Moves Primary Listing To Texas Stock Exchange
- Cullen/Frost Raises 2026 Guidance: Is Its Growth Momentum Sustainable?
- CULLEN/FROST BANKERS TO MOVE PRIMARY STOCK EXCHANGE LISTINGS TO TEXAS STOCK EXCHANGE
Compare Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1002 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/B ratio by industry
- Net margin by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 | ¥5.53 | ¥7.59 | +37% | vs CFR |
| China Merchants Bank Co 600036 | ¥42.88 | ¥52.73 | +23% | vs CFR |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €91.93 | €106.01 | +15% | vs CFR |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.18 | €4.49 | −27% | vs CFR |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €76.80 | €50.44 | −34% | vs CFR |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 27.73 SGD | 18.20 SGD | −34% | vs CFR |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $9.39 | $5.90 | −37% | vs CFR |
| DBS Group D05 | 69.72 SGD | 40.39 SGD | −42% | vs CFR |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK | ₹788.25 | ₹406.39 | −48% | vs CFR |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,571 | ₹615.63 | −61% | vs CFR |
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Key figures of Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc
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