Seafresh Industry Public Company (CFRESH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 992M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 1.47 THB to 0.6500 THB (−55.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +31.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.8200 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.6600 THB – 4.66 THB · fair‑value band 0.4900 THB – 0.8200 THB · the 1.41 THB price screens above the 0.6500 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Seafresh Industry Public Company (CFRESH) currently trades at 1.41 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6500 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Seafresh Industry Public Company generated revenue of 8.2B THB at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at 1.8B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.4900 THB (bear case) to 0.8200 THB (bull case); at 1.41 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -54%, CFRESH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1.68 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.1800 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Seafresh Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes frozen raw shrimp, processed shrimp, vegetable and fruit, and other seafood products in Thailand and internationally. It offers raw, cooked, sushi, and value-added shrimp products, as well as shrimp powder and peeled head shrimp products.
Full company description
Seafresh Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes frozen raw shrimp, processed shrimp, vegetable and fruit, and other seafood products in Thailand and internationally. It offers raw, cooked, sushi, and value-added shrimp products, as well as shrimp powder and peeled head shrimp products. The company also engages in the operation of an e-commerce platform for food products; production and sale of animal feed and nutrition products; research and development of fish meal substitution products; operation of shrimp farms; and investment in seafood processing and other related companies. In addition, it offers consulting and installation services for computer systems, as well as managerial, technical support, and financial management services. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Muang, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Seafresh Industry Public Company reported revenue of 7.9B THB in FY2025 versus 6.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 28.8M THB in FY2025, compounding −42.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CFRESH screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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