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Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · TR

CC Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

CGCAM · IS

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 14.59 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−41%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.8 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 20.1% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

52.55 TRY 22.00 TRY Fair Value 14.59 TRY Dec 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range 22.00 TRY – 52.55 TRY · fair‑value band 11.92 TRY – 22.23 TRY · the 24.88 TRY price screens above the 14.59 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells glass products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers glass for commercial refrigeration and household appliances; solar glass, including solar panel, solar collector, and solar mirror; and greenhouse glass.

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Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells glass products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers glass for commercial refrigeration and household appliances; solar glass, including solar panel, solar collector, and solar mirror; and greenhouse glass. It also trades in and distributes glass products, such as float, mirror, laminated, coated, and colored glass. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Aydin, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM) currently trades at 24.88 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.59 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 39.16 TRY per share, and 9 of the 23 models we run sit above the 24.88 TRY price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 5.85 TRY, and 14 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 11.92 TRY (bear) to 22.23 TRY (bull), the price of 24.88 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 2.5B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +20.6%/yr. Reported net income was 455M TRY in FY2025, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.9B TRY (≈ $141M) · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 1.70 · EPS (TTM) 2.71 TRY · Net margin 18.6% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8% · Operating margin 10.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −41%, CGCAM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 11.92 TRY Fair Value 14.59 TRY Bull 22.23 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.95 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 4.02 TRY 5.94 TRY 8.61 TRY 77
Growth DCF 4.11 TRY 5.85 TRY 8.17 TRY 76
5Y EBITDA Exit 14.15 TRY 24.64 TRY 36.64 TRY 71
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 4.02 TRY 5.94 TRY 8.61 TRY 77
Owner Earnings n/a 0.0900 TRY 0.2300 TRY 70
5Y Revenue Exit 10.41 TRY 17.87 TRY 27.32 TRY 68
5Y EBITDA Exit 14.15 TRY 24.64 TRY 36.64 TRY 71
5Y P/E Exit 20.41 TRY 35.94 TRY 51.81 TRY 67
10Y Revenue Exit 7.48 TRY 13.59 TRY 21.57 TRY 62
10Y EBITDA Exit 10.21 TRY 18.10 TRY 28.31 TRY 64
10Y P/E Exit 14.06 TRY 25.62 TRY 39.27 TRY 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 18.44 TRY 47.61 TRY 62.03 TRY 62
PEG = 1.0 8.98 TRY 12.82 TRY 16.67 TRY 55
EPV 17.08 TRY 19.82 TRY 22.18 TRY 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 34.57 TRY 46.09 TRY 57.62 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 16.44 TRY 21.92 TRY 27.40 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 34.57 TRY 46.09 TRY 57.62 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 25.09 TRY 33.54 TRY 41.99 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 22.97 TRY 30.71 TRY 38.46 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 15.09 TRY 21.66 TRY 28.24 TRY 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.75 TRY 18.42 TRY 27.49 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 4.11 TRY 5.85 TRY 8.17 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 10.41 TRY 17.77 TRY 25.75 TRY 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income 23.70 TRY 26.14 TRY 37.52 TRY 67
ROIC Compounder 17.08 TRY 19.82 TRY 22.18 TRY 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 27.41 TRY 39.16 TRY 50.91 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.6%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 17%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

CGCAM screens 71% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 254 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.49× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.01× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 2.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)43 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $87.69 $69.69 −21%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 68.46 CHF 33.05 −52%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $244.30 $114.48 −53%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹10,764 ₹4,718 −56%
Heidelberg Materials AG HEI €149.80 €157.48 +5%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $506.81 $215.31 −58%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥47.15 ¥29.22 −38%
Amrize AG AMRZ $38.40 $31.93 −17%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,282 ₹1,126 −66%
CEMEX, S.A. CX $10.16 $20.77 +104%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGCAM

Frequently asked questions

Is Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.59 TRY versus a price of 24.88 TRY, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGCAM?
Our model-based fair value for Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 14.59 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.88 TRY.
What is the quality score of CGCAM?
Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 14.59 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.92 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.23 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 14.59 TRY, about −41% upside versus a price of 24.88 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.92 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.23 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +51.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +20.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CGCAM use?
Our models discount Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at 17.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. that is +51.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. grew +20.6 % a year. The price currently implies +51.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (+51.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.66 %: that much free cash flow Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 14.59 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 24.88 TRY. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CGCAM trades above its calculated fair value: price 24.88 TRY, fair value 14.59 TRY, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGCAM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.88 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (14.59 TRY). For Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 10.29 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 6.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 24.88 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 14.59 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGCAM?
Our models span a range for Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 11.92 TRY, base 14.59 TRY, optimistic 22.23 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 24.88 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CGCAM?
Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 14.59 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 14.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGCAM from its 52-week high?
Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 24.88 TRY, about 55% below its 52-week high of 55.40 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 14.59 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 24.88 TRY, calculated fair value 14.59 TRY (−41%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGCAM calculated?
We run Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 14.59 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 24.88 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 14.59 TRY, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (22.23 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (11.92 TRY to 22.23 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.

How large is the market capitalisation of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The market capitalisation of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.9B TRY (≈ $141M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Earnings per share at Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are 2.71 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The net margin of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 18.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 15.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
The operating margin of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Revenue at Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM)?
Earnings per share at Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing +19.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CGCAM) carry?
The net debt of Cagdas Cam Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 179M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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