Capstone Energy+, Inc (CGEH) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $367M
Capstone Energy+, Inc
CGEH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −17.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($1.18 to $3.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
34‑month range $0.1500 – $13.60 · fair‑value band $1.18 – $3.16 · the $9.85 price screens above the $2.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Capstone Energy+, Inc (CGEH) currently trades at $9.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.17, implying the stock looks roughly 78.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Capstone Energy+, Inc generated revenue of $110M at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 32.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $34.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.18 (bear case) to $3.16 (bull case); at $9.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -78%, CGEH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($4.69) versus Multiples ($2.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Capstone Energy+, Inc. provides customized microgrid solutions, on-site resilient energy-as-a-service (EaaS) solutions, and on-site energy technology systems.
Full company description
Capstone Energy+, Inc. provides customized microgrid solutions, on-site resilient energy-as-a-service (EaaS) solutions, and on-site energy technology systems. The company's solutions include stationary distributed power generation applications and distribution networks, including cogeneration, integrated combined heat and power, renewable energy, natural resources, and critical power supply, as well as combined cooling, heat, and power. Its inverter-based technologies solve resiliency by connecting to the electric grid or be the backbone of a localized microgrid; energy conversion products include microturbine energy systems offering solutions to a range of customer-tailored solutions; and provides energy rental solutions utilizing microturbine energy systems. The company also provides factory protection plan service contracts, as well as aftermarket spare parts. In addition, it offers customers the ability to run on hydrogen blended fuel source. Capstone Energy+, Inc. was formerly known as Capstone Green Energy Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Capstone Energy+, Inc. in April 2026. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Van Nuys, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Capstone Energy+, Inc reported revenue of $85.6M in FY2025 versus $68.9M in FY2020, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.2M in FY2025.
CGEH screens 78% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Capstone Energy+ Announces Nasdaq Listing as Company Continues Strategic Transformation
- Capstone Energy+ expects SG&A to trend to the high teens over 12 to 18 months as it targets 5 ppm liner delivery by year-end
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Intel, CrowdStrike, Honeywell International , Capstone Energy+ and Lulu's Fashion Lounge
- Capstone Climbs 109% Year to Date: Should You Buy the Stock?
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 806 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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