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Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Capstone Energy+, Inc. $4.77, price $9.85, upside -51.6%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US

CE Capstone Energy+, Inc. logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Capstone Energy+, Inc.

CGEH · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $4.77 · Strongly overvalued (−51.6%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$13.60 $0.1500 Fair Value $4.77 Sep 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range $0.1500 – $13.60 · fair‑value band $2.53 – $8.02 · the $9.85 price screens above the $4.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Capstone Energy+, Inc. provides customized microgrid solutions, on-site resilient energy-as-a-service (EaaS) solutions, and on-site energy technology systems.

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Capstone Energy+, Inc. provides customized microgrid solutions, on-site resilient energy-as-a-service (EaaS) solutions, and on-site energy technology systems. The company's solutions include stationary distributed power generation applications and distribution networks, including cogeneration, integrated combined heat and power, renewable energy, natural resources, and critical power supply, as well as combined cooling, heat, and power. Its inverter-based technologies solve resiliency by connecting to the electric grid or be the backbone of a localized microgrid; energy conversion products include microturbine energy systems offering solutions to a range of customer-tailored solutions; and provides energy rental solutions utilizing microturbine energy systems. The company also provides factory protection plan service contracts, as well as aftermarket spare parts. In addition, it offers customers the ability to run on hydrogen blended fuel source. Capstone Energy+, Inc. was formerly known as Capstone Green Energy Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Capstone Energy+, Inc. in April 2026. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Van Nuys, California.

Stock analysis

Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH) currently trades at $9.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.77, 51.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $5.81 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $9.85 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $2.79, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.53 (bear) to $8.02 (bull), the price of $9.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Capstone Energy+, Inc. reported revenue of $85.6M in FY2025 versus $68.9M in FY2020, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $367M · P/S ratio 3.33 · EPS (TTM) $−2.80 · Net margin −8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.0% · Operating margin 9.2% · Revenue (TTM) $110M · Revenue growth (YoY) +32.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 926% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −52%, CGEH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.53 Fair Value $4.77 Bull $8.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.10 $6.59 $13.28 76
Growth DCF $3.85 $7.05 $12.58 75
Rev-Margin DCF $2.60 $5.18 $9.03 70
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.10 $6.59 $13.28 76
5Y Revenue Exit $2.60 $4.78 $8.98 69
10Y Revenue Exit $2.99 $5.81 $8.77 65
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.80 $2.79 $3.79 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.85 $7.05 $12.58 75
Rev-Margin DCF $2.60 $5.18 $9.03 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−24.4% (2020) → −6.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.0% a year for the price.

CGEH screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 4.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 3.33× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 47.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 40.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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Capstone Energy+, Inc. · Fair Value
$4.77 −52%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Capstone Energy+, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGEH

Frequently asked questions

Is Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.77 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $9.85, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGEH?
Our model-based fair value for Capstone Energy+, Inc. is $4.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $9.85.
What is the quality score of CGEH?
Capstone Energy+, Inc. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.53, optimistic scenario $8.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Capstone Energy+, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.77, about −52% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $9.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.53, optimistic scenario $8.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
Capstone Energy+, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Capstone Energy+, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +24.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CGEH use?
Our models discount Capstone Energy+, Inc. at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.85, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Capstone Energy+, Inc. that is +24.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Capstone Energy+, Inc. grew +4.4 % a year. The price currently implies +24.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Capstone Energy+, Inc. (+24.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.10 %: that much free cash flow Capstone Energy+, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Capstone Energy+, Inc. it is $4.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $9.85. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Capstone Energy+, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CGEH trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.85, fair value $4.77, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGEH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.77). For Capstone Energy+, Inc. the two are $5.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Capstone Energy+, Inc. worth?
The market values Capstone Energy+, Inc. at about $367M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $9.85; our models calculate a fair value of $4.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGEH?
Our models span a range for Capstone Energy+, Inc.: cautious scenario $2.53, base $4.77, optimistic $8.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $9.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Capstone Energy+, Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGEH from its 52-week high?
Capstone Energy+, Inc. trades at $9.85, about 28% below its 52-week high of $13.60 and 926% above the low of $0.9600 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Capstone Energy+, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Capstone Energy+, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $9.85, calculated fair value $4.77 (−52%), Quality Score 47/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGEH calculated?
We run Capstone Energy+, Inc. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Capstone Energy+, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $9.85. Our model-based fair value is $4.77, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Capstone Energy+, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($2.53 to $8.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Capstone Energy+, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
The market capitalisation of Capstone Energy+, Inc. is $367M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Capstone Energy+, Inc. is 3.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
Earnings per share at Capstone Energy+, Inc. are $−2.80. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
The net margin of Capstone Energy+, Inc. is −8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Capstone Energy+, Inc. is −17.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
The operating margin of Capstone Energy+, Inc. is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH)?
Revenue at Capstone Energy+, Inc. is growing +32.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Capstone Energy+, Inc. (CGEH) carry?
The net debt of Capstone Energy+, Inc. is $34.3M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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