CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of CGN Mining Company Limited $0.19, price $0.23, upside -16.3%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0003 – $0.6877 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.2500 · the $0.2269 price screens above the $0.1900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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CGN Mining Company Limited engages in the development and trading of natural uranium resources to nuclear power plants. It operates through Natural Uranium Trading and Other Investments segments. The company also invests in natural uranium resources.
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CGN Mining Company Limited engages in the development and trading of natural uranium resources to nuclear power plants. It operates through Natural Uranium Trading and Other Investments segments. The company also invests in natural uranium resources. It operates in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Europe, the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. CGN Mining Company Limited is a subsidiary of China Uranium Development Company Limited.
Stock analysis
CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF) currently trades at $0.2269, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1900, 16.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.3100 per share, and 2 of the 17 models we run sit above the $0.2269 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.0200, and 15 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0900 (bear) to $0.2500 (bull), the price of $0.2269 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
CGN Mining Company Limited reported revenue of HK$6.9B in FY2025 versus HK$3.9B in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$453M in FY2025, compounding +26.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B · P/E ratio 22.7 · P/S ratio 1.50 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at −16%, CGNMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0900Fair Value $0.1900Bull $0.2500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19.7% vs 5.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 0%
Compare CGN Mining Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 22 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Above median
Fair Value upside−33.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−58.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)22.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B4.77× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.17× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)43· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CGN Mining Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGNMF
Frequently asked questions
Is CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1900 versus a price of $0.2269, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGNMF?
Our model-based fair value for CGN Mining Company Limited is $0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2269.
What is the quality score of CGNMF?
CGN Mining Company Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0900, optimistic scenario $0.2500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CGN Mining Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1900, about −16% upside versus a price of $0.2269 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0900, optimistic scenario $0.2500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
CGN Mining Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CGN Mining Company Limited pay a dividend?
CGN Mining Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CGN Mining Company Limited it is $0.1900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2269. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CGN Mining Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CGNMF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2269, fair value $0.1900, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGNMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2269); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1900). For CGN Mining Company Limited the two are $0.0369 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CGN Mining Company Limited worth?
The market values CGN Mining Company Limited at about $2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2269; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGNMF?
Our models span a range for CGN Mining Company Limited: cautious scenario $0.0900, base $0.1900, optimistic $0.2500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2269). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CGNMF?
CGN Mining Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.1900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 3.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for CGN Mining Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGNMF from its 52-week high?
CGN Mining Company Limited trades at $0.2269, about 67% below its 52-week high of $0.6877 and at the low of $0.2269 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CGN Mining Company Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, Centrus Energy Corp, Uranium Royalty Corp, Deep Yellow Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CGN Mining Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2269, calculated fair value $0.1900 (−16%), Quality Score 39/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGNMF calculated?
We run CGN Mining Company Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CGN Mining Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was $0.2269. Our model-based fair value is $0.1900, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CGN Mining Company Limited right now?
Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.0900 to $0.2500). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF) come from?
Earnings per share at CGN Mining Company Limited grew +6.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +23.2 %, EBIT margin −36.6 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +35.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CGN Mining Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The market capitalisation of CGN Mining Company Limited is $2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CGN Mining Company Limited is 1.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
Earnings per share at CGN Mining Company Limited are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The dividend yield of CGN Mining Company Limited is 6.2% (payout 140%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The net margin of CGN Mining Company Limited is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CGN Mining Company Limited is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CGN Mining Company Limited is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
The operating margin of CGN Mining Company Limited is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
Revenue at CGN Mining Company Limited is growing −58.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF)?
Earnings per share at CGN Mining Company Limited are growing −36.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF) generate?
The free cash flow of CGN Mining Company Limited is −HK$985M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CGN Mining Company Limited (CGNMF) carry?
The net debt of CGN Mining Company Limited is HK$2.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026