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Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Uranium Royalty Corp $1.15, price $4.25, upside -72.9%, quality 18 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · Home Canada · ISIN CA91702V1013

UR Uranium Royalty Corp logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Uranium Royalty Corp

UROY · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.15 · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 18/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.78 $1.47 Fair Value $1.15 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.47 – $5.78 · fair‑value band $0.7600 – $1.44 · the $4.25 price screens above the $1.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium.

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Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company also owns and manages a portfolio of geographically diversified uranium interests. Uranium Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) currently trades at $4.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.15, implying the stock looks roughly 269.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.7600 (bear) to $1.44 (bull), the price of $4.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Uranium Royalty Corp reported revenue of C$15.6M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$5.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $539M · P/E ratio 141.7 · P/S ratio 7.89 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin −36.3% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% · Operating margin 17.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −73%, UROY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.7600 Fair Value $1.15 Bull $1.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0300 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.01 $1.35 $2.01 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.01 $1.35 $2.01 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 9/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−63.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−39.6% (2022) → −30.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

UROY screens 270% overvalued. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (87 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare Uranium Royalty Corp with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 25 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 9.87× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cameco Corporation CCJ $90.80 $10.11 −89%
China National Uranium Co 001280 ¥63.11 ¥16.71 −74%
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $157.83 $58.25 −63%
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.23 HK$1.38 −38%
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$1.35 A$0.3000 −78%
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.67 A$0.7200 −57%
enCore Energy Corp EU $1.21 $0.7900 −35%
Atha Energy Corp SASK C$1.10 C$0.4100 −63%
Alligator Energy Limited AGE A$0.0430 A$0.0288 −33%
Berkeley Energia Limited BKY A$0.4650 A$0.1600 −66%

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Uranium Royalty Corp · Fair Value
$1.15 −270%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Uranium Royalty Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UROY

Frequently asked questions

Is Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.15 versus a price of $4.25, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UROY?
Our model-based fair value for Uranium Royalty Corp is $1.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.25.
What is the quality score of UROY?
Uranium Royalty Corp has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7600, optimistic scenario $1.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Uranium Royalty Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.15, about −73% upside versus a price of $4.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.7600, optimistic scenario $1.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Uranium Royalty Corp it is $1.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.25. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Uranium Royalty Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UROY trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.25, fair value $1.15, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UROY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.15). For Uranium Royalty Corp the two are $3.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Uranium Royalty Corp worth?
The market values Uranium Royalty Corp at about $539M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.25; our models calculate a fair value of $1.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UROY?
Our models span a range for Uranium Royalty Corp: cautious scenario $0.7600, base $1.15, optimistic $1.44 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of UROY?
Uranium Royalty Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 141.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 9.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Uranium Royalty Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UROY from its 52-week high?
Uranium Royalty Corp trades at $4.25, about 22% below its 52-week high of $5.46 and 63% above the low of $2.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Uranium Royalty Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, China National Uranium Co, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Uranium Royalty Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.25, calculated fair value $1.15 (−73%), Quality Score 18/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UROY calculated?
We run Uranium Royalty Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Uranium Royalty Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $4.25. Our model-based fair value is $1.15, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Uranium Royalty Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.7600 to $1.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Uranium Royalty Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
The market capitalisation of Uranium Royalty Corp is $539M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Uranium Royalty Corp is 7.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
Earnings per share at Uranium Royalty Corp are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 141.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
The net margin of Uranium Royalty Corp is −36.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Uranium Royalty Corp is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Uranium Royalty Corp is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
The operating margin of Uranium Royalty Corp is 17.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY)?
Earnings per share at Uranium Royalty Corp are growing +462% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) generate?
The free cash flow of Uranium Royalty Corp is −C$21.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) hold?
Uranium Royalty Corp holds more cash than debt, C$12.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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