Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Boss Energy Ltd A$0.72, price A$1.63, upside -55.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.01 – A$6.11 · fair‑value band A$0.4000 – A$0.9000 · the A$1.63 price screens above the A$0.7200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Boss Energy Limited explores for and produces uranium deposits in Australia and the United States. The company holds a 100% interest in the Honeymoon uranium project located in South Australia. It also holds 30% interest in the Alta Mesa Project located in South Texas.
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Boss Energy Limited explores for and produces uranium deposits in Australia and the United States. The company holds a 100% interest in the Honeymoon uranium project located in South Australia. It also holds 30% interest in the Alta Mesa Project located in South Texas. The company was formerly known as Boss Resources Limited and changed its name to Boss Energy Limited in November 2020. Boss Energy Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) currently trades at A$1.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 125.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.7800 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the A$1.63 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.3600, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$0.4000 (bear) to A$0.9000 (bull), the price of A$1.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Boss Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$75.6M in FY2025 versus A$601K in FY2020, a compound +163.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$34.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$668M (≈ $469M) · P/S ratio 4.96 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0800 · Net margin −45.2% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.2% · Operating margin 0.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$110M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −56%, BOE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.4000Fair Value A$0.7200Bull A$0.9000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+434.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+163.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +92.3% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−934.0% (2020) → −29.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+65.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.7% a year for the price and +60.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Above median
Fair Value upside−56% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−30% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth71% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.97× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.28× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Boss Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BOE
Frequently asked questions
Is Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7200 versus a price of A$1.63, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BOE?
Our model-based fair value for Boss Energy Ltd is A$0.7200 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.63.
What is the quality score of BOE?
Boss Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7200 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.4000, optimistic scenario A$0.9000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Boss Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7200, about −56% upside versus a price of A$1.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.4000, optimistic scenario A$0.9000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Boss Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$110M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Boss Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +29.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +163.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BOE use?
Our models discount Boss Energy Ltd at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Boss Energy Ltd that is +29.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Boss Energy Ltd grew +163.0 % a year. The price currently implies +29.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Boss Energy Ltd (+29.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.63 %: that much free cash flow Boss Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Boss Energy Ltd it is A$0.7200 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$1.63. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Boss Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BOE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.63, fair value A$0.7200, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BOE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7200). For Boss Energy Ltd the two are A$0.9050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Boss Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Boss Energy Ltd at about A$668M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$1.63; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BOE?
Our models span a range for Boss Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.4000, base A$0.7200, optimistic A$0.9000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$1.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Boss Energy Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BOE from its 52-week high?
Boss Energy Ltd trades at A$1.63, about 23% below its 52-week high of A$2.12 and 61% above the low of A$1.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Boss Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, China National Uranium Co, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Boss Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$1.63, calculated fair value A$0.7200 (−56%), Quality Score 36/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BOE calculated?
We run Boss Energy Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.7200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Boss Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$1.63. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7200, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Boss Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.9000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (A$0.4000 to A$0.9000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Boss Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The market capitalisation of Boss Energy Ltd is A$668M (≈ $469M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Boss Energy Ltd is 4.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Earnings per share at Boss Energy Ltd are A$−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The net margin of Boss Energy Ltd is −45.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Boss Energy Ltd is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Boss Energy Ltd is −3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
The operating margin of Boss Energy Ltd is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Revenue at Boss Energy Ltd is growing +71.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +441%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Boss Energy Ltd (BOE)?
Earnings per share at Boss Energy Ltd are growing −12.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Boss Energy Ltd (BOE) hold?
Boss Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$36.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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