Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Deep Yellow Ltd A$0.26, price A$1.35, upside -81.1%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4850 – A$2.91 · fair‑value band A$0.1785 – A$0.2550 · the A$1.35 price screens above the A$0.2550 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Deep Yellow Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of uranium properties in Australia and Namibia. It operates through Tumas Project, Mulga Rock Project, Exploration, and Other Activities segments. The company also explores for iron deposits.
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Deep Yellow Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of uranium properties in Australia and Namibia. It operates through Tumas Project, Mulga Rock Project, Exploration, and Other Activities segments. The company also explores for iron deposits. Its flagship property is the 95% owned Tumas Project, which covers an area of approximately 125 kilometers located in Namibia. In addition, the company is involved in property investment; and trustee of share trust activities. Deep Yellow Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) currently trades at A$1.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2550, implying the stock looks roughly 429.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.4400 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$1.35 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.1000, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1785 (bear) to A$0.2550 (bull), the price of A$1.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Deep Yellow Ltd reported revenue of A$11.6M in FY2025 versus A$56.1K in FY2021, a compound +279.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$7.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.7B (≈ $1.2B) · Net margin 61.8% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin −293% · Revenue (TTM) −A$2.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −68.1% · Free cash flow −A$45.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −81%, DYL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (A$0.0100 to A$0.4400). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear A$0.1785Fair Value A$0.2550Bull A$0.2550
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+72,572.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+508.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+172.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +57.1% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5,726% → −127%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 23.9%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Above median
Fair Value upside−81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Above median
Return on assets−1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)62% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−68% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.89× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2550 versus a price of A$1.35, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DYL?
Our model-based fair value for Deep Yellow Ltd is A$0.2550 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.35.
What is the quality score of DYL?
Deep Yellow Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2550 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1785, optimistic scenario A$0.2550. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Deep Yellow Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2550, about −81% upside versus a price of A$1.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1785, optimistic scenario A$0.2550. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Deep Yellow Ltd it is A$0.2550 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$1.35. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Deep Yellow Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DYL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.35, fair value A$0.2550, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DYL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2550). For Deep Yellow Ltd the two are A$1.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Deep Yellow Ltd worth?
The market values Deep Yellow Ltd at about A$1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$1.35; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2550 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DYL?
Our models span a range for Deep Yellow Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1785, base A$0.2550, optimistic A$0.2550 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$1.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Deep Yellow Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DYL from its 52-week high?
Deep Yellow Ltd trades at A$1.35, about 54% below its 52-week high of A$2.91 and 11% above the low of A$1.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2550 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Deep Yellow Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, China National Uranium Co, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Deep Yellow Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$1.35, calculated fair value A$0.2550 (−81%), Quality Score 34/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DYL calculated?
We run Deep Yellow Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2550, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Deep Yellow Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$1.35. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2550, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Deep Yellow Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2550). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Deep Yellow Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
The market capitalisation of Deep Yellow Ltd is A$1.7B (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
The net margin of Deep Yellow Ltd is 61.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Deep Yellow Ltd is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Deep Yellow Ltd is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
The operating margin of Deep Yellow Ltd is −293% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) generate?
Deep Yellow Ltd generates revenue of −A$2.3M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL)?
Revenue at Deep Yellow Ltd is growing −68.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +508%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) generate?
The free cash flow of Deep Yellow Ltd is −A$45.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Deep Yellow Ltd (DYL) hold?
Deep Yellow Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$214M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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