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Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Berkeley Energia Ltd A$0.16, price A$0.47, upside -65.6%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · AU · ISIN AU000000BKY0

BE Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Berkeley Energia Ltd

BKY · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.1600 · Strongly overvalued (−66%)
!Quality 50/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -179.7% net margin (FY2025)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.8000 A$0.1400 Fair Value A$0.1600 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1400 – A$0.8000 · fair‑value band A$0.1000 – A$0.2000 · the A$0.4650 price screens above the A$0.1600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Berkeley Energia Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Spain. The company explores for uranium, lithium, rubidium, tin, tantalum, niobium, tungsten, cobalt, antimony, and other battery and critical metals. It primarily holds interest in the Salamanca Uranium project located in Western Spain.

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Berkeley Energia Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Spain. The company explores for uranium, lithium, rubidium, tin, tantalum, niobium, tungsten, cobalt, antimony, and other battery and critical metals. It primarily holds interest in the Salamanca Uranium project located in Western Spain. The company also has interests in the Conchas Project, which covers an area of 31 square kilometers located in the western part of the Salamanca province; and the Oliva and La Majada projects which consist of three tenements located in Spain. The company was formerly known as Berkeley Energy Limited and changed its name to Berkeley Energia Limited in November 2015. Berkeley Energia Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) currently trades at A$0.4650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 190.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.1000 (bear) to A$0.2000 (bull), the price of A$0.4650 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Berkeley Energia Ltd reported revenue of A$3.0M in FY2025 versus A$23.0K in FY2021, a compound +238.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$207M (≈ $146M) · P/S ratio 68.6 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.5% · Revenue (TTM) A$3.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) −14.7% · Free cash flow −A$4.6K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −66%, BKY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.1000 Fair Value A$0.1600 Bull A$0.2000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+355.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−539.1% (2020) → −112.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BKY screens 191% overvalued. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 24 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −180% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.79× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 48.26× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cameco Corporation CCJ $90.80 $10.11 −89%
China National Uranium Co 001280 ¥63.11 ¥16.71 −74%
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $157.83 $58.25 −63%
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.23 HK$1.38 −38%
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$1.35 A$0.3000 −78%
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $4.51 $1.15 −75%
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.67 A$0.7200 −57%
enCore Energy Corp EU $1.21 $0.7900 −35%
Atha Energy Corp SASK C$1.10 C$0.4100 −63%
Alligator Energy Limited AGE A$0.0430 A$0.0288 −33%

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Berkeley Energia Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.1600 −191%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berkeley Energia Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BKY

Frequently asked questions

Is Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1600 versus a price of A$0.4650, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BKY?
Our model-based fair value for Berkeley Energia Ltd is A$0.1600 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4650.
What is the quality score of BKY?
Berkeley Energia Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1600 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1000, optimistic scenario A$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Berkeley Energia Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1600, about −66% upside versus a price of A$0.4650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1000, optimistic scenario A$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Berkeley Energia Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Berkeley Energia Ltd it is A$0.1600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.4650. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Berkeley Energia Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BKY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.4650, fair value A$0.1600, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1600). For Berkeley Energia Ltd the two are A$0.3050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Berkeley Energia Ltd worth?
The market values Berkeley Energia Ltd at about A$207M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4650; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BKY?
Our models span a range for Berkeley Energia Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1000, base A$0.1600, optimistic A$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.4650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Berkeley Energia Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −12.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BKY from its 52-week high?
Berkeley Energia Ltd trades at A$0.4650, about 31% below its 52-week high of A$0.6700 and 22% above the low of A$0.3800 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Berkeley Energia Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, China National Uranium Co, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Berkeley Energia Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.4650, calculated fair value A$0.1600 (−66%), Quality Score 50/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BKY calculated?
We run Berkeley Energia Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Berkeley Energia Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.4650. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1600, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Berkeley Energia Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$0.1000 to A$0.2000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Berkeley Energia Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The market capitalisation of Berkeley Energia Ltd is A$207M (≈ $146M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Berkeley Energia Ltd is 68.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Earnings per share at Berkeley Energia Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −12.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Revenue at Berkeley Energia Ltd is growing −14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +355%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) generate?
The free cash flow of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −A$4.6K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) hold?
Berkeley Energia Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$73.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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