Berkeley Energia Limited (BKY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$208M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.1000 to A$0.2000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1400 – A$0.8000 · fair‑value band A$0.1000 – A$0.2000 · the A$0.4650 price screens above the A$0.1600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Berkeley Energia Limited (BKY) currently trades at A$0.4650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 65.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$3.0M. Revenue declined 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$73.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1000 (bear case) to A$0.2000 (bull case); at A$0.4650, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -66%, BKY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Berkeley Energia Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Spain. The company explores for uranium, lithium, rubidium, tin, tantalum, niobium, tungsten, cobalt, antimony, and other battery and critical metals. It primarily holds interest in the Salamanca Uranium project located in Western Spain.
Full company description
Berkeley Energia Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Spain. The company explores for uranium, lithium, rubidium, tin, tantalum, niobium, tungsten, cobalt, antimony, and other battery and critical metals. It primarily holds interest in the Salamanca Uranium project located in Western Spain. The company also has interests in the Conchas Project, which covers an area of 31 square kilometers located in the western part of the Salamanca province; and the Oliva and La Majada projects which consist of three tenements located in Spain. The company was formerly known as Berkeley Energy Limited and changed its name to Berkeley Energia Limited in November 2015. Berkeley Energia Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Berkeley Energia Limited reported revenue of A$3.0M in FY2025 versus A$23.0K in FY2021, a compound +238.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.4M in FY2025.
BKY screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Cameco Corporation →
Peer Group
Uranium · 26 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameco Corporation CCJ | $95.99 | $9.62 | -90% |
| China National Uranium Co 001280 | ¥56.66 | ¥11.54 | -80% |
| NexGen Energy Ltd NXE | $9.25 | $1.04 | -89% |
| Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU | $18.61 | $29.76 | +60% |
| Centrus Energy Corp LEU | $156.05 | $58.25 | -63% |
| CGN Mining Company 1164 | HK$2.42 | HK$1.01 | -58% |
| Deep Yellow Limited DYL | A$1.23 | A$0.3000 | -76% |
| IsoEnergy Ltd ISOU | $10.01 | $1.78 | -82% |
| Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN | A$3.51 | A$3.63 | +3% |
| Uranium Royalty Corp UROY | $2.76 | $1.62 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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