Cogeco Inc (CGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CA · Market cap C$597M
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from C$193.82 to C$176.91 (−8.7%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −5.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 200% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$108.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (C$108.81 to C$221.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$38.01 – C$75.41 · fair‑value band C$108.81 – C$221.14 · the C$58.97 price screens below the C$176.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Cogeco Inc (CGO) currently trades at C$58.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$176.91, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cogeco Inc generated revenue of C$2.9B at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at C$4.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$108.81 (bear case) to C$221.14 (bull case); at C$58.97, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 200%, CGO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$433.57) versus Dividend Discount (C$42.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cogeco Inc. operates in the communications and media sectors in Canada and the United States. The company operates in two segments, Canadian Telecommunications and American Telecommunications.
Full company description
Cogeco Inc. operates in the communications and media sectors in Canada and the United States. The company operates in two segments, Canadian Telecommunications and American Telecommunications. It provides a range of Internet, video, and phone services through advanced fibre optic and two-way telecommunications distribution networks primarily to residential customers, as well as business services under the Cogeco Connexion name in Quebec and Ontario; and Breezeline brand in the United States. The company provides advanced network connectivity services, such as dedicated fibre, session initiation protocol, primary rate interface, trunking solutions, and hosted private branch exchange solutions, as well as managed business Wi-Fi. In addition, it owns and operates 21 radio stations with complementary radio formats and coverage serving a range of audiences primarily across the province of Québec; and Cogeco News, a news agency. It serves primary service units, including Internet, video, and telephony service customers. The company was incorporated in 1957 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. Cogeco Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Gestion Audem Inc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cogeco Inc reported revenue of C$3.0B in FY2025 versus C$2.6B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$85.0M in FY2025, compounding −33.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Telecom Services · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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