Core AI Holdings (CHAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Core AI Holdings stock $0.09, price $0.21, upside -58.9%, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2004 – $999,875 · fair‑value band $0.0510 – $0.1020 · the $0.2070 price screens above the $0.0850 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
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Core AI Holdings, Inc. operates as an AI technology and infrastructure company. The company focuses on the development, distribution, and monetization of casual games, which are delivered as apps for mobile phones. It is also involved in the AI-driven mobile game development and publishing business.
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The company is based in Miami, Florida.
Stock analysis
Core AI Holdings (CHAI) currently trades at $0.2070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0850, 58.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $0.0510 (bear) to $0.1020 (bull), the price of $0.2070 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Core AI Holdings reported revenue of $55.2M in FY2025 versus $9.5M in FY2021, a compound +55.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $5.3M Micro · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2400 · Net margin −57.2% · Return on equity −120% · Return on assets (EBIT) −101% · Operating margin −7.4% · Revenue (TTM) $52.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −59%, CHAI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.0510Fair Value $0.0850Bull$0.1020
Price $0.2070 · Upside -58.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)$0.0600$0.1000$0.120052
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$0.0600$0.1000$0.120052
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+375.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+104.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−174.1% (2020) → −13.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 126 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−58.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Net margin (12 months)−68.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−7.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)55.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.71× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.10× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Core AI Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHAI
Frequently asked questions
Is Core AI Holdings (CHAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0850 versus a price of $0.2070, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHAI?
Our model-based fair value for Core AI Holdings is $0.0850 (as of Oct 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2070.
What is the quality score of CHAI?
Core AI Holdings has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0850 (as of Oct 21, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0510, optimistic scenario $0.1020. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Core AI Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0850, about −59% upside versus a price of $0.2070 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0510, optimistic scenario $0.1020. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
Core AI Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $52.5M (latest available figure, as of Oct 21, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Core AI Holdings it is $0.0850 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026), against a price of $0.2070. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Core AI Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 21, 2026, CHAI trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2070, fair value $0.0850, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2070); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0850). For Core AI Holdings the two are $0.1220 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Core AI Holdings worth?
The market values Core AI Holdings at about $5.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 21, 2026). Per share that is $0.2070; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0850 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHAI?
Our models span a range for Core AI Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0510, base $0.0850, optimistic $0.1020 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026, price $0.2070). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Core AI Holdings (as of Oct 21, 2026): return on equity −120.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHAI from its 52-week high?
Core AI Holdings trades at $0.2070, about 96% below its 52-week high of $5.12 and 3% above the low of $0.2004 (as of Oct 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0850 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Core AI Holdings?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Core AI Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 21, 2026: price $0.2070, calculated fair value $0.0850 (−59%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHAI calculated?
We run Core AI Holdings through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0850, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Core AI Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
The closing price on Oct 21, 2026 was $0.2070. Our model-based fair value is $0.0850, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Core AI Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1020). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0510 to $0.1020) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Core AI Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
The market capitalisation of Core AI Holdings is $5.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Core AI Holdings is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
Earnings per share at Core AI Holdings are $−0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
The net margin of Core AI Holdings is −57.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Core AI Holdings is −120% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Core AI Holdings is −101% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
The operating margin of Core AI Holdings is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Core AI Holdings (CHAI)?
Revenue at Core AI Holdings is growing +55.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +104%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Core AI Holdings (CHAI) generate?
The free cash flow of Core AI Holdings is −$6.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Core AI Holdings (CHAI) hold?
Core AI Holdings holds more cash than debt, $1.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 21, 2026