Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company (CHAO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 1.2B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 3.63 THB to 3.64 THB (+0.3%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from 2.82 THB (bear) to 4.74 THB (bull), base 3.64 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range 3.73 THB – 13.71 THB · fair‑value band 2.82 THB – 4.74 THB · the 4.16 THB price screens above the 3.64 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company (CHAO) currently trades at 4.16 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.64 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 12.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company generated revenue of 1.4B THB at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.82 THB (bear case) to 4.74 THB (bull case); at 4.16 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -13%, CHAO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (4.40 THB) versus Earnings-Based (2.00 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes snacks and processed meat products in Thailand, China, the United States, Hong Kong, Australia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Snacks and Meal.
Full company description
Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes snacks and processed meat products in Thailand, China, the United States, Hong Kong, Australia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Snacks and Meal. The company offers snack products, including rice crackers, pork sticks, crispy pork, cereal crackers, cashew nut bars, white and black sesame bars, and peanut bars and nougats; ready-to-cook food products, such as Chinese-style sausages and stir-fried noodles; and ready-to-eat meals comprising chili paste, roasted pork, and pork floss, strips, and jerky. It also provides mini rice chips; fish sticks, chips, and skins; grain crackers; desserts; drinks; and health products, as well as gift sets. In addition, the company engages in the import and distribution of consumer products. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company reported revenue of 1.4B THB in FY2025 versus 1.4B THB in FY2022, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 70.3M THB in FY2025, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2022.
CHAO screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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