CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED stock THB 2.96, price THB 3.86, that is 23.3% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range 3.73 THB – 13.71 THB · fair‑value band 2.67 THB – 3.18 THB · the 3.86 THB price screens above the 2.96 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Chaosua Foods Industry Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes snacks and processed meat products in Thailand, China, the United States, Hong Kong, Australia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Snacks and Meal.
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The company offers snack products, including rice crackers, pork sticks, crispy pork, cereal crackers, cashew nut bars, white and black sesame bars, and peanut bars and nougats; ready-to-cook food products, such as Chinese-style sausages and stir-fried noodles; and ready-to-eat meals comprising chili paste, roasted pork, and pork floss, strips, and jerky.
It also provides mini rice chips; fish sticks, chips, and skins; grain crackers; desserts; drinks; and health products, as well as gift sets. In addition, the company engages in the import and distribution of consumer products. It exports its products.
The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand.
Stock analysis
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO) currently trades at 3.86 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.96 THB, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 5.33 THB per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the 3.86 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.9900 THB, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.67 THB (bear) to 3.18 THB (bull), the price of 3.86 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED reported revenue of 1.4B THB in FY2025 versus 1.4B THB in FY2022, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 70.3M THB in FY2025, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1B THB (≈ $34.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) 0.2100 THB · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.7% (4-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −23%, CHAO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.67 THBFair Value 2.96 THBBull3.18 THB
Price 3.86 THB · Downside -23.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0343 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−12.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 6%
Compare CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−23.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.7% · Below median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−10.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHAO
Frequently asked questions
Is CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.96 THB versus a price of 3.86 THB, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHAO?
Our model-based fair value for CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 2.96 THB (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.86 THB.
What is the quality score of CHAO?
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.96 THB (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.67 THB, optimistic scenario 3.18 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.96 THB, about 23% lower versus a price of 3.86 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.67 THB, optimistic scenario 3.18 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED pay a dividend?
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of 4.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED pays a dividend of 0.17 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.4%. The last ex-dividend date was May 14, 2026. The payout ratio is 81.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED it is 2.96 THB per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 3.86 THB. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, CHAO trades above its calculated fair value: price 3.86 THB, fair value 2.96 THB, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHAO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.86 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.96 THB). For CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED the two are 0.9000 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED worth?
The market values CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED at about 1.1B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 3.86 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 2.96 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHAO?
Our models span a range for CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED: cautious scenario 2.67 THB, base 2.96 THB, optimistic 3.18 THB per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 3.86 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHAO?
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.96 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
Balance-sheet figures for CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHAO from its 52-week high?
CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED trades at 3.86 THB, about 16% below its 52-week high of 4.58 THB and 3% above the low of 3.73 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.96 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 3.86 THB, calculated fair value 2.96 THB (−23%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHAO calculated?
We run CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 2.96 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 3.86 THB. Our model-based fair value is 2.96 THB, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.18 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The market capitalisation of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 1.1B THB (≈ $34.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
Earnings per share at CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED are 0.2100 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The dividend yield of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 4.4% (payout 81.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The net margin of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 5.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is 12.7% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
The operating margin of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
Revenue at CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is growing −10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO)?
Earnings per share at CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED are growing +52.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED (CHAO) generate?
The free cash flow of CHAOSUA FOODS INDUSTRY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED is −168M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Thin data
Nov 3, 2026