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The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd (CHBKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $589M

TC The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd logo The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd CHBKF · US
Price$10.26
Fair Value$15.85
Upside+54.5%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range $11.89 – $19.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $16.11 to $15.85 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 54% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (16 months)

$10.26 $10.17 Fair Value $15.85 Mar 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range $10.17 – $10.26 · fair‑value band $11.89 – $19.81 · the $10.26 price screens below the $15.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd (CHBKF) currently trades at $10.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.85, implying the stock looks roughly 54.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd generated revenue of $61.2B at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 19.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.89 (bear case) to $19.81 (bull case); at $10.26, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 54%, CHBKF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $1,949 $2,598 $3,248 63
Residual Income $2,098 $2,044 $1,742 61
P/B Multiple $1,656 $2,209 $2,761 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,949 $2,598 $3,248 63
P/B Multiple $1,656 $2,209 $2,761 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,482 $1,986 $2,964 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2,098 $2,044 $1,742 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2,209) versus Asset-Based ($1,986). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $61.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.9%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow $11.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.0
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.5400
EPS growth (YoY) -10.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Japan. The company offers deposit services, lending services, trading of commodity securities, securities investment services, domestic exchange services, foreign exchange services, bond acceptance and registration, and other related services.

Full company description

The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Japan. The company offers deposit services, lending services, trading of commodity securities, securities investment services, domestic exchange services, foreign exchange services, bond acceptance and registration, and other related services. It also provides card, car, renovation, private practice doctor, medical, agri, business loans; mortgage and reverse mortgage, unsecured financing mortgage; and IT and payment services. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Chiba, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd reported revenue of $48.8B in FY2025 versus $45.6B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was $7.5B in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$48.8B
Latest YoY
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.9%
Revenue +1.7%/yr
FY21 $45.6B
FY22 $46.1B
FY23 $45.9B
FY24 $49.2B
FY25 $48.8B
Net income +11.9%/yr
FY21 $4.8B
FY22 $6.4B
FY23 $6.5B
FY24 $7.4B
FY25 $7.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHBKF

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +55% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 19 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd (CHBKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.85 versus a price of $10.26, about +54% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHBKF?
Our model-based fair value for The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd is $15.85 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.26.
What is the quality score of CHBKF?
The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd (CHBKF)?
The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $61.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHBKF?
The net profit margin of The Chiba Kogyo Bank, Ltd is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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