Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $502M
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated
CHCT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −11.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.18 – $35.34 · fair‑value band $6.75 – $9.40 · the $15.85 price screens above the $9.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated (CHCT) currently trades at $15.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.40, implying the stock looks roughly 40.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated generated revenue of $123M at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at $533M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.75 (bear case) to $9.40 (bull case); at $15.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -41%, CHCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($24.02) versus Multiples ($3.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a real estate investment trust. It focuses on owning income-producing real estate properties associated primarily with the delivery of outpatient healthcare services in our target sub-markets throughout the United States.
Full company description
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a real estate investment trust. It focuses on owning income-producing real estate properties associated primarily with the delivery of outpatient healthcare services in our target sub-markets throughout the United States. As of March 31, 2026, the Company had investments of approximately 1.2 billion US dollars in 198 real estate properties (including one property with sales-type leases and one property classified as held for sale). The properties are in 36 states, totaling approximately 4.5 million square feet in the aggregate. Community Healthcare Trust was established on march 28, 2014 and is based in Franklin, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated reported revenue of $121M in FY2025 versus $90.6M in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was $5.1M in FY2025, compounding −31.0%/yr from FY2021.
CHCT screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Community Healthcare Trust Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Is Community Healthcare Trust (CHCT) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
- Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Community Healthcare dividend declines by 31.2% to $0.33
Peer Group
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welltower Inc WELL | $231.59 | $42.21 | -82% |
| Ventas, Inc VTR | $100.53 | $18.07 | -82% |
| Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI | $51.72 | $33.69 | -35% |
| Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC | $22.27 | $7.02 | -68% |
| American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR | $56.38 | $11.04 | -80% |
| CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE | $43.25 | $23.07 | -47% |
| Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR | $21.40 | $20.60 | -4% |
| Aedifica NV AED | €69.85 | €36.17 | -48% |
| Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN | C$22.81 | C$3.52 | -85% |
| Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA | $22.36 | $10.49 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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