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Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc (SBRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.6B

SH Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc logo Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA · US
Price$21.04
Fair Value$10.49
Upside-50.1%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.62% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $8.90 – $13.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.39 $7.93 Fair Value $10.49 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.93 – $22.39 · fair‑value band $8.90 – $13.11 · the $21.04 price screens above the $10.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc (SBRA) currently trades at $21.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.49, implying the stock looks roughly 50.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc generated revenue of $816M at a net margin of 19.2%. Revenue grew 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.90 (bear case) to $13.11 (bull case); at $21.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -50%, SBRA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.83 $23.23 $47.64 80
Residual Income $8.67 $8.91 $8.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF $3.42 $12.16 $24.08 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.25 $24.97 $55.84 38
5Y Revenue Exit $3.42 $12.35 $24.61 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.47 $29.82 $53.79 41
10Y Revenue Exit $4.90 $14.21 $28.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.56 $27.10 $54.05 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.08 $20.09 $30.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.08 $17.36 $21.21 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $7.87 $10.49 $13.11 58
P/B Multiple $7.87 $10.49 $13.11 55
EV/EBIT $8.38 $14.14 $19.89 53
EV/EBITDA $13.91 $21.51 $29.11 54
EV/Revenue $0.6400 $4.72 $8.80 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.59 $7.50 $11.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.83 $23.23 $47.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.42 $12.16 $24.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.67 $8.91 $8.75 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($24.97) versus Asset-Based ($7.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $816M
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.7%
Net margin 19.2%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow $349M FY2025
P/E ratio 29.0
More key figures
Operating margin 31.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.6300
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net debt $2.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. operates as a self-administered, self-managed real estate investment trust that, through its subsidiaries, owns and invests in real estate serving the healthcare industry throughout the United States and Canada. Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. is incorporated on May 10th, 2010 and is based in Tustin, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc reported revenue of $775M in FY2025 versus $570M in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $156M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$775M
Latest YoY
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+34.8%
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY21 $570M
FY22 $625M
FY23 $648M
FY24 $703M
FY25 $775M
Net income
FY21 −$113M
FY22 −$77.6M
FY23 $13.8M
FY24 $127M
FY25 $156M

SBRA screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBRA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Below median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 5.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 23 · sector 21
HEALTH 59 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Welltower Inc WELL $231.59 $42.21 -82%
Ventas, Inc VTR $100.53 $18.07 -82%
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI $51.72 $33.69 -35%
Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC $22.27 $7.02 -68%
American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR $56.38 $11.04 -80%
CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE $43.25 $23.07 -47%
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR $21.40 $20.60 -4%
Aedifica NV AED €69.85 €36.17 -48%
Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN C$22.81 C$3.52 -85%
National Health Investors, Inc NHI $80.54 $49.86 -38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc (SBRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.49 versus a price of $21.04, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SBRA?
Our model-based fair value for Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc is $10.49 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $21.04.
What is the quality score of SBRA?
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc (SBRA)?
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $816M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SBRA?
The net profit margin of Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc is about 19.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc pay a dividend?
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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