CareTrust REIT, Inc (CTRE) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $8.8B
CareTrust REIT, Inc
CTRE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $13.32 – $43.40 · fair‑value band $14.71 – $24.51 · the $41.22 price screens above the $19.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
CareTrust REIT, Inc (CTRE) currently trades at $41.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.61, implying the stock looks roughly 52.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CareTrust REIT, Inc generated revenue of $523M at a net margin of 64.1%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at $696M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.71 (bear case) to $24.51 (bull case); at $41.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -52%, CTRE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($40.14) versus Asset-Based ($11.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a self-administered, publicly traded REIT engaged in the ownership, acquisition, financing, development and leasing of skilled nursing, senior housing and other healthcare-related properties.
Full company description
CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a self-administered, publicly traded REIT engaged in the ownership, acquisition, financing, development and leasing of skilled nursing, senior housing and other healthcare-related properties. As of December 31, 2025, CareTrust REIT owned, directly or indirectly in consolidated joint ventures, and leased to independent operators, 407 skilled nursing facilities (each, a SNF), senior housing communities and other properties consisting of 37,628 operational beds and units located in 32 states and the United Kingdom, with the highest concentration of properties by rental income located in California, the U.K., Texas, and Tennessee. As of December 31, 2025, we also had other real estate related investments consisting of four preferred equity investments, 16 real estate secured loans receivable and five mezzanine loans receivable with a carrying value of 899.3 million US dollars and one financing receivable with a carrying value of 92.2 million US dollars. CareTrust REIT, Inc. was established and incorporated on October 29, 2013 and is based in Dana Point, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CareTrust REIT, Inc reported revenue of $477M in FY2025 versus $190M in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was $321M in FY2025, compounding +45.3%/yr from FY2021.
CTRE screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- CareTrust REIT Inc (CTRE) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record $900M Investment Quarter ...
- CareTrust REIT (CTRE) Meets Q2 FFO Estimates
- CareTrust Announces $291 Million of Recent Investments; $1.5 Billion Investments Year-To-Date; Reloaded Pipeline
- CareTrust REIT Announces Second Quarter 2026 Operating Results; Increases 2026 Guidance
Peer Group
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welltower Inc WELL | $231.59 | $42.21 | -82% |
| Ventas, Inc VTR | $100.53 | $18.07 | -82% |
| Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI | $51.72 | $33.69 | -35% |
| Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC | $22.27 | $7.02 | -68% |
| American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR | $56.38 | $11.04 | -80% |
| Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR | $21.40 | $20.60 | -4% |
| Aedifica NV AED | €69.85 | €36.17 | -48% |
| Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN | C$22.81 | C$3.52 | -85% |
| Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA | $22.36 | $10.49 | -53% |
| National Health Investors, Inc NHI | $80.54 | $49.86 | -38% |
Compare CareTrust REIT, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is CareTrust REIT, Inc (CTRE) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CTRE?
What is the quality score of CTRE?
What is the revenue of CareTrust REIT, Inc (CTRE)?
What is the net profit margin of CTRE?
Does CareTrust REIT, Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track CareTrust REIT, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.