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Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc (OHI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $14.3B

OH Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc logo Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI · US
Price$48.68
Fair Value$28.64
Upside-41.2%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 51.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.92% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $21.47 – $35.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($35.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$51.72 $18.45 Fair Value $28.64 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.45 – $51.72 · fair‑value band $21.47 – $35.79 · the $48.68 price screens above the $28.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc (OHI) currently trades at $48.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.64, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 51.4%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at $4.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.47 (bear case) to $35.79 (bull case); at $48.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -41%, OHI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $23.71 $52.42 $101.24 80
Residual Income $15.97 $18.18 $28.35 76
ROIC Compounder $7.37 $10.97 $14.11 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.02 $55.39 $110.23 38
Owner Earnings $1.54 $13.95 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.76 $10.14 $19.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.13 $46.09 $78.54 41
5Y P/E Exit $16.70 $38.98 $64.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.34 $18.77 $31.67 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $21.12 $45.17 $81.47 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.84 $39.95 $69.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.47 $63.28 $86.99 54
Lynch FV $16.76 $23.94 $31.12 50
PEG = 1.0 $16.76 $23.94 $31.12 46
EPV $7.37 $10.97 $14.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.06 $50.03 $79.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage $24.06 $42.18 $52.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.72 $39.63 $49.54 63
P/S Multiple $7.54 $10.06 $12.57 58
P/B Multiple $25.26 $33.69 $42.11 55
EV/EBIT $19.77 $31.10 $42.42 53
EV/EBITDA $20.98 $32.71 $44.44 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.70 $11.66 $17.40 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $23.71 $52.42 $101.24 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.97 $18.18 $28.35 76
ROIC Compounder $7.37 $10.97 $14.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $25.84 $36.92 $47.99 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($52.42) versus Economic Profit ($10.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.3%
Net margin 51.4%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow $879M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.1
More key figures
Operating margin 65.5%
EPS (TTM) $2.07
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +39.3%
Net debt $4.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. is a Real Estate Investment Trust. The firm is providing financing and capital to the long-term healthcare industry in the United States and the United Kingdom with a focus on skilled nursing and assisted living facilities, including care homes in the United Kingdom.

Full company description

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. is a Real Estate Investment Trust. The firm is providing financing and capital to the long-term healthcare industry in the United States and the United Kingdom with a focus on skilled nursing and assisted living facilities, including care homes in the United Kingdom. As of September 30, 2025, Omega has a portfolio of investments that includes 1,024 operating facilities located in 42 states, the District of Columbia and the United Kingdom/Jersey (290 facilities) and operated by 88 different operators. Additionally, Omega has investments in several unconsolidated entities that own 19 facilities. As a source of capital to the healthcare industry, Omega continually evaluates the opportunities, trends and challenges affecting the industry. Our goal is to identify long-term investments in quality healthcare properties with outstanding operators that provide the most favorable risk/reward ratio to our investors. Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. is based in Hunt Valley, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $590M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y)
+17.5%
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $878M
FY23 $950M
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income +9.1%/yr
FY21 $417M
FY22 $427M
FY23 $242M
FY24 $406M
FY25 $590M

OHI screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OHI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 65% · Above median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 11.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 11.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 72 · sector 30
PAST 51 · sector 21
HEALTH 59 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Welltower Inc WELL $231.59 $42.21 -82%
Ventas, Inc VTR $100.53 $18.07 -82%
Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC $22.27 $7.02 -68%
American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR $56.38 $11.04 -80%
CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE $43.25 $23.07 -47%
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR $21.40 $20.60 -4%
Aedifica NV AED €69.85 €36.17 -48%
Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN C$22.81 C$3.52 -85%
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA $22.36 $10.49 -53%
National Health Investors, Inc NHI $80.54 $49.86 -38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc (OHI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.64 versus a price of $48.68, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OHI?
Our model-based fair value for Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc is $28.64 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $48.68.
What is the quality score of OHI?
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc (OHI)?
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OHI?
The net profit margin of Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc is about 51.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 51.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc pay a dividend?
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.92% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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