EN DE
Watch Chalice Mining Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chalice Mining Ltd stock A$0.14, price A$1.06, that is 86.8% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000CHN7

CM Chalice Mining Ltd logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Chalice Mining Ltd

CHN · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 87% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 44/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 80% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.1400 · Strongly overvalued (−86.8%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
Watch Chalice Mining Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$10.17 A$0.8300 Fair Value A$0.1400 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.8300 – A$10.17 · fair‑value band A$0.0900 – A$0.1800 · the A$1.06 price screens above the A$0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

Follow Chalice Mining in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Chalice Mining is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Chalice Mining Limited operates as a mineral exploration and evaluation company. It explores for gold, copper, cobalt, palladium, platinum, and nickel deposits.

Show moreShow less

The company also has interest in the Gonneville Palladium-Nickel-Copper Project and in the exploration of projects located in the West Yilgarn region of Western Australia. Chalice Mining Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) currently trades at A$1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1400, 87% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0900 (bear) to A$0.1800 (bull), the price of A$1.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Chalice Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$604K in FY2025 versus A$520K in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$26.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$413M (≈ $284M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0700 · Return on equity −22.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 15,097% · Revenue (TTM) −A$396K · Revenue growth (YoY) −79.8% · Free cash flow −A$21.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −87%, CHN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.1400 Bull A$0.1800
Price A$1.06 · Downside -86.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1400 A$0.1800 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1400 A$0.1800 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 77
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 7
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 7
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 64
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+411.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,940.4% (2020) → −4,347.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CHN screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Compare Chalice Mining Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 371 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Above median
Fair Value upside −86.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −22.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −79.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.61× · Pricier than median
PEG 11.56× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs CHN
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 59.05 SAR 64.96 SAR +10% vs CHN
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs CHN
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs CHN
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs CHN
BHP Group BHP A$57.62 A$47.45 −18% vs CHN
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs CHN
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs CHN
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs CHN
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs CHN

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Evidence & backtest34 years, failed companies included Financial calculatorsDCF, Graham, PEG and more
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Chalice Mining Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chalice Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHN

Frequently asked questions

Is Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1400 versus a price of A$1.06, about 87% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHN?
Our model-based fair value for Chalice Mining Ltd is A$0.1400 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.06.
What is the quality score of CHN?
Chalice Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1400 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0900, optimistic scenario A$0.1800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chalice Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1400, about 87% lower versus a price of A$1.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0900, optimistic scenario A$0.1800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chalice Mining Ltd it is A$0.1400 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of A$1.06. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Chalice Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, CHN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.06, fair value A$0.1400, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1400). For Chalice Mining Ltd the two are A$0.9200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chalice Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Chalice Mining Ltd at about A$413M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is A$1.06; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHN?
Our models span a range for Chalice Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0900, base A$0.1400, optimistic A$0.1800 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price A$1.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CHN?
The PEG ratio of Chalice Mining Ltd is 11.56 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chalice Mining Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −22.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHN from its 52-week high?
Chalice Mining Ltd trades at A$1.06, about 60% below its 52-week high of A$2.63 and 20% above the low of A$0.8800 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chalice Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chalice Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price A$1.06, calculated fair value A$0.1400 (−87%), Quality Score 44/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHN calculated?
We run Chalice Mining Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.1400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Chalice Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$1.06. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1400, about 87% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chalice Mining Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0900 to A$0.1800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Chalice Mining Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The market capitalisation of Chalice Mining Ltd is A$413M (≈ $284M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Earnings per share at Chalice Mining Ltd are A$−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chalice Mining Ltd is −22.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chalice Mining Ltd is −29.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The operating margin of Chalice Mining Ltd is 15,097% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) generate?
Chalice Mining Ltd generates revenue of −A$396K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Revenue at Chalice Mining Ltd is growing −79.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) generate?
The free cash flow of Chalice Mining Ltd is −A$21.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) carry?
The net debt of Chalice Mining Ltd is A$166K (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch Chalice Mining Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Chalice Mining Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.