EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chalice Mining Ltd A$0.19, price A$1.29, upside -85.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000CHN7

CM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Chalice Mining Ltd

CHN · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.1900 · Strongly overvalued (−85%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Chalice Mining Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$10.17 A$0.8300 Fair Value A$0.1900 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.8300 – A$10.17 · fair‑value band A$0.1300 – A$0.2400 · the A$1.29 price screens above the A$0.1900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Follow Chalice Mining in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Chalice Mining is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Chalice Mining Limited operates as a mineral exploration and evaluation company. It explores for gold, copper, cobalt, palladium, platinum, and nickel deposits. The company also has interest in the Gonneville Palladium-Nickel-Copper Project and in the exploration of projects located in the West Yilgarn region of Western Australia.

Show more

Chalice Mining Limited operates as a mineral exploration and evaluation company. It explores for gold, copper, cobalt, palladium, platinum, and nickel deposits. The company also has interest in the Gonneville Palladium-Nickel-Copper Project and in the exploration of projects located in the West Yilgarn region of Western Australia. Chalice Mining Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) currently trades at A$1.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 576.1% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.1300 (bear) to A$0.2400 (bull), the price of A$1.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Chalice Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$604K in FY2025 versus A$520K in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$24.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$562M (≈ $396M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0600 · Return on equity −17.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −29.7% · Operating margin −16,596% · Revenue (TTM) −A$396K · Revenue growth (YoY) −79.8% · Free cash flow −A$18.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −85%, CHN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.1300 Fair Value A$0.1900 Bull A$0.2400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1700 A$0.2200 A$0.3300 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1700 A$0.2200 A$0.3300 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when CHN reaches fair value

Put CHN on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 11/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+411.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,940.4% (2020) → −4,347.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CHN screens 576% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

Compare Chalice Mining Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 459 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −80% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.06× · Priciest 25%
PEG 11.56× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.87 −30%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.81 ¥21.74 +22%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$16.85 A$34.49 +105%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹590.50 ₹649.55 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Chalice Mining Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.1900 −576%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chalice Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHN

Frequently asked questions

Is Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1900 versus a price of A$1.29, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHN?
Our model-based fair value for Chalice Mining Ltd is A$0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.29.
What is the quality score of CHN?
Chalice Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1300, optimistic scenario A$0.2400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chalice Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1900, about −85% upside versus a price of A$1.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1300, optimistic scenario A$0.2400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chalice Mining Ltd it is A$0.1900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$1.29. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chalice Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CHN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.29, fair value A$0.1900, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1900). For Chalice Mining Ltd the two are A$1.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chalice Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Chalice Mining Ltd at about A$562M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$1.29; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHN?
Our models span a range for Chalice Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1300, base A$0.1900, optimistic A$0.2400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$1.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CHN?
The PEG ratio of Chalice Mining Ltd is 11.56 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chalice Mining Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHN from its 52-week high?
Chalice Mining Ltd trades at A$1.29, about 53% below its 52-week high of A$2.75 and 7% above the low of A$1.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chalice Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chalice Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$1.29, calculated fair value A$0.1900 (−85%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHN calculated?
We run Chalice Mining Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chalice Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$1.29. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1900, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chalice Mining Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$0.1300 to A$0.2400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Chalice Mining Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The market capitalisation of Chalice Mining Ltd is A$562M (≈ $396M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Earnings per share at Chalice Mining Ltd are A$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chalice Mining Ltd is −17.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chalice Mining Ltd is −29.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
The operating margin of Chalice Mining Ltd is −16,596% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) generate?
Chalice Mining Ltd generates revenue of −A$396K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN)?
Revenue at Chalice Mining Ltd is growing −79.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) generate?
The free cash flow of Chalice Mining Ltd is −A$18.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chalice Mining Ltd (CHN) hold?
Chalice Mining Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$69.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Chalice Mining Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Chalice Mining Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.